Stock Analysis

Segue Group (TSE:3968) Has Announced A Dividend Of ¥6.00

TSE:3968
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Segue Group Co., Ltd. (TSE:3968) will pay a dividend of ¥6.00 on the 12th of September. This makes the dividend yield 2.8%, which is above the industry average.

While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Segue Group's stock price has reduced by 30% in the last 3 months, which is not ideal for investors and can explain a sharp increase in the dividend yield.

Segue Group's Future Dividends May Potentially Be At Risk

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Based on the last payment, Segue Group was quite comfortably earning enough to cover the dividend. This indicates that a lot of the earnings are being reinvested into the business, with the aim of fueling growth.

EPS is set to grow by 5.1% over the next year if recent trends continue. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could reach 99%, which probably can't continue without starting to put some pressure on the balance sheet.

historic-dividend
TSE:3968 Historic Dividend April 11th 2025

See our latest analysis for Segue Group

Segue Group Doesn't Have A Long Payment History

The dividend's track record has been pretty solid, but with only 6 years of history we want to see a few more years of history before making any solid conclusions. The annual payment during the last 6 years was ¥1.67 in 2019, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥13.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 41% per annum over that time. It is always nice to see strong dividend growth, but with such a short payment history we wouldn't be inclined to rely on it until a longer track record can be developed.

Segue Group Could Grow Its Dividend

Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. We are encouraged to see that Segue Group has grown earnings per share at 5.1% per year over the past five years. Since earnings per share is growing at an acceptable rate, and the payout policy is balanced, we think the company is positioning itself well to grow earnings and dividends in the future.

Our Thoughts On Segue Group's Dividend

In summary, it's great to see that the company can raise the dividend and keep it in a sustainable range. The dividend has been at reasonable levels historically, but that hasn't translated into a consistent payment. This looks like it could be a good dividend stock going forward, but we would note that the payout ratio has been at higher levels in the past so it could happen again.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 2 warning signs for Segue Group that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Is Segue Group not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.