The Market Lifts Advanced Media, Inc. (TSE:3773) Shares 32% But It Can Do More
Advanced Media, Inc. (TSE:3773) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 32% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 35% over that time.
Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Advanced Media's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.4x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Japan is similar at about 14x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
Advanced Media certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this strong earnings performance might be about to tail off. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Advanced Media
Keen to find out how analysts think Advanced Media's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Some Growth For Advanced Media?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Advanced Media's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 32% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 111% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 13% per annum during the coming three years according to the one analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.4% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it interesting that Advanced Media is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
What We Can Learn From Advanced Media's P/E?
Advanced Media appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump getting its P/E back in line with most other companies. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Advanced Media's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Advanced Media has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Advanced Media's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:3773
Advanced Media
Engages in planning, design, and development of speech recognition solutions in Japan and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and fair value.