AGS Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 3648 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

3648 (¥814) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (¥460.06)

Is 3648 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3648 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3648 (¥814) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥460.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3648 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3648?

Key metric: As 3648 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 3648. This is calculated by dividing 3648's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 3648's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	15.6x
Earnings	JP¥876.00m
Market Cap	JP¥13.70b

3648 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	3.9x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3648's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3648 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	12.2x
3712 Information Planning	13x	n/a	JP¥13.1b
9799 Asahi Intelligence Service	12.2x	n/a	JP¥13.7b
3924 R&D ComputerLtd	11x	n/a	JP¥11.8b
4299 HIMACS	12.7x	n/a	JP¥15.9b
3648 AGS	15.6x	n/a	JP¥13.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3648 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the peer average (12.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3648's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP IT Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies available in this PE range

0 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3648 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the JP IT industry average (18x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3648's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3648 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	15.6x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 3648's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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