Stock Analysis

Some ITbook Holdings Co.,Ltd. (TSE:1447) Shareholders Look For Exit As Shares Take 35% Pounding

TSE:1447
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The ITbook Holdings Co.,Ltd. (TSE:1447) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 35%. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 51% loss during that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, ITbook HoldingsLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 24.4x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 13x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

The earnings growth achieved at ITbook HoldingsLtd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for ITbook HoldingsLtd

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:1447 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 5th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on ITbook HoldingsLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Growth For ITbook HoldingsLtd?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like ITbook HoldingsLtd's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 9.7% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, EPS has barely risen at all in aggregate from three years ago, which is not ideal. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 9.8% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's alarming that ITbook HoldingsLtd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate ITbook HoldingsLtd's very lofty P/E. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of ITbook HoldingsLtd revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for ITbook HoldingsLtd (2 are significant) you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than ITbook HoldingsLtd. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.