To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Although, when we looked at MKSystem (TYO:3910), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for MKSystem, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.14 = JP¥230m ÷ (JP¥2.2b - JP¥545m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
So, MKSystem has an ROCE of 14%. That's a relatively normal return on capital, and it's around the 15% generated by the Software industry.
Check out our latest analysis for MKSystem
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for MKSystem's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you're interested in investigating MKSystem's past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
The Trend Of ROCE
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at MKSystem doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 27% over the last three years. However it looks like MKSystem might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
On a related note, MKSystem has decreased its current liabilities to 25% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
The Bottom Line On MKSystem's ROCE
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by MKSystem's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Since the stock has gained an impressive 42% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. Ultimately, if the underlying trends persist, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger going forward.
On a final note, we found 5 warning signs for MKSystem (1 is significant) you should be aware of.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:3910
MKSystem
Provides system development and cloud services in Japan.t operates through two segments, Sharo Dream Business and CuBe Business.
Moderate risk and good value.
Market Insights
Weekly Picks
Early mover in a fast growing industry. Likely to experience share price volatility as they scale

A case for CA$31.80 (undiluted), aka 8,616% upside from CA$0.37 (an 86 bagger!).

Moderation and Stabilisation: HOLD: Fair Price based on a 4-year Cycle is $12.08
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