Stock Analysis

SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:7735) Stocks Pounded By 33% But Not Lagging Market On Growth Or Pricing

TSE:7735
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SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:7735) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 33% share price drop in the last month. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 38%, which is great even in a bull market.

Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that SCREEN Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Japan, where the median P/E ratio is around 14x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

Recent times have been advantageous for SCREEN Holdings as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for SCREEN Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:7735 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 2nd 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on SCREEN Holdings.

Is There Some Growth For SCREEN Holdings?

SCREEN Holdings' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 55% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 296% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 7.8% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be similar to the 9.6% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why SCREEN Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

SCREEN Holdings' plummeting stock price has brought its P/E right back to the rest of the market. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of SCREEN Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook is contributing to its current P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings won't throw up any surprises. It's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with SCREEN Holdings (at least 2 which are concerning), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.