Stock Analysis

Disco Corporation (TSE:6146) Shares Slammed 27% But Getting In Cheap Might Be Difficult Regardless

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Disco Corporation (TSE:6146) shares are down a considerable 27% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 28%, which is great even in a bull market.

Although its price has dipped substantially, Disco's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 40.2x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 13x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Recent times have been advantageous for Disco as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Disco

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:6146 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 16th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Disco will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
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Does Growth Match The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Disco would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 20% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 120% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 24% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.3% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Disco's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

Even after such a strong price drop, Disco's P/E still exceeds the rest of the market significantly. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Disco maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Disco that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSE:6146

Disco

Manufactures and sells precision cutting, grinding, and polishing machines in Japan and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.

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