Stock Analysis

Do These 3 Checks Before Buying Optimus Group Company Limited (TSE:9268) For Its Upcoming Dividend

TSE:9268
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Optimus Group Company Limited (TSE:9268) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 4 days. The ex-dividend date is commonly two business days before the record date, which is the cut-off date for shareholders to be present on the company's books to be eligible for a dividend payment. It is important to be aware of the ex-dividend date because any trade on the stock needs to have been settled on or before the record date. In other words, investors can purchase Optimus Group's shares before the 28th of March in order to be eligible for the dividend, which will be paid on the 26th of June.

The company's next dividend payment will be JP¥10.00 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of JP¥18.00 per share. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Optimus Group stock has a trailing yield of around 4.9% on the current share price of JP¥370.00. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Optimus Group paid out a disturbingly high 339% of its profit as dividends last year, which makes us concerned there's something we don't fully understand in the business. Yet cash flow is typically more important than profit for assessing dividend sustainability, so we should always check if the company generated enough cash to afford its dividend. The good news is it paid out just 12% of its free cash flow in the last year.

It's disappointing to see that the dividend was not covered by profits, but cash is more important from a dividend sustainability perspective, and Optimus Group fortunately did generate enough cash to fund its dividend. If executives were to continue paying more in dividends than the company reported in profits, we'd view this as a warning sign. Very few companies are able to sustainably pay dividends larger than their reported earnings.

See our latest analysis for Optimus Group

Click here to see how much of its profit Optimus Group paid out over the last 12 months.

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TSE:9268 Historic Dividend March 23rd 2025
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Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

When earnings decline, dividend companies become much harder to analyse and own safely. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. With that in mind, we're discomforted by Optimus Group's 7.1% per annum decline in earnings in the past five years. Ultimately, when earnings per share decline, the size of the pie from which dividends can be paid, shrinks.

We'd also point out that Optimus Group issued a meaningful number of new shares in the past year. It's hard to grow dividends per share when a company keeps creating new shares.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. In the past seven years, Optimus Group has increased its dividend at approximately 35% a year on average. The only way to pay higher dividends when earnings are shrinking is either to pay out a larger percentage of profits, spend cash from the balance sheet, or borrow the money. Optimus Group is already paying out 339% of its profits, and with shrinking earnings we think it's unlikely that this dividend will grow quickly in the future.

Final Takeaway

Has Optimus Group got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? It's not a great combination to see a company with earnings in decline and paying out 339% of its profits, which could imply the dividend may be at risk of being cut in the future. Yet cashflow was much stronger, which makes us wonder if there are some large timing issues in Optimus Group's cash flows, or perhaps the company has written down some assets aggressively, reducing its income. Bottom line: Optimus Group has some unfortunate characteristics that we think could lead to sub-optimal outcomes for dividend investors.

With that in mind though, if the poor dividend characteristics of Optimus Group don't faze you, it's worth being mindful of the risks involved with this business. To help with this, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Optimus Group (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you ought to be aware of before buying the shares.

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.