Sanrio Company Valuation

Is 8136 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8136 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8136 (¥4884) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥3596.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8136 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8136?

Key metric: As 8136 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 8136. This is calculated by dividing 8136's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 8136's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio44.1x
EarningsJP¥26.15b
Market CapJP¥1.13t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8136's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8136 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19x
3046 JINS HOLDINGS
31.9x12.0%JP¥148.7b
3028 AlpenLtd
27.7xn/aJP¥76.7b
2681 Geo Holdings
7.9x20.6%JP¥59.6b
2780 Komehyo HoldingsLtd
8.4x22.8%JP¥39.8b
8136 Sanrio Company
44.1x11.7%JP¥1.1t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 8136 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44.1x) compared to the peer average (19x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8136's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
8136 44.1xIndustry Avg. 13.5xNo. of Companies14PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8136 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44.1x) compared to the JP Specialty Retail industry average (13.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8136's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8136 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio44.1x
Fair PE Ratio22.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 8136 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 8136 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥4,902.00
JP¥4,637.14
-5.4%
15.3%JP¥5,660.00JP¥3,700.00n/a7
Nov ’25JP¥4,032.00
JP¥4,312.86
+7.0%
10.6%JP¥5,000.00JP¥3,700.00n/a7
Oct ’25JP¥4,135.00
JP¥4,135.71
+0.02%
9.5%JP¥4,890.00JP¥3,700.00n/a7
Sep ’25JP¥3,720.00
JP¥3,600.00
-3.2%
15.2%JP¥4,500.00JP¥2,800.00n/a7
Aug ’25JP¥3,060.00
JP¥3,085.00
+0.8%
13.3%JP¥3,760.00JP¥2,570.00n/a6
Jul ’25JP¥2,979.00
JP¥2,880.00
-3.3%
11.4%JP¥3,430.00JP¥2,520.00n/a5
Jun ’25JP¥2,423.50
JP¥2,878.60
+18.8%
11.4%JP¥3,430.00JP¥2,520.00n/a5
May ’25JP¥2,633.00
JP¥2,768.00
+5.1%
6.8%JP¥2,980.00JP¥2,520.00n/a5
Apr ’25JP¥3,050.00
JP¥2,768.00
-9.2%
6.8%JP¥2,980.00JP¥2,520.00n/a5
Mar ’25JP¥2,881.00
JP¥2,694.17
-6.5%
10.4%JP¥2,976.67JP¥2,293.33n/a4
Feb ’25JP¥2,056.33
JP¥2,692.22
+30.9%
13.8%JP¥2,976.67JP¥2,166.67n/a3
Jan ’25JP¥1,959.67
JP¥2,692.22
+37.4%
13.8%JP¥2,976.67JP¥2,166.67n/a3
Dec ’24JP¥2,031.00
JP¥2,681.67
+32.0%
12.0%JP¥2,976.67JP¥2,166.67n/a4
Nov ’24JP¥2,174.00
JP¥2,797.78
+28.7%
4.8%JP¥2,976.67JP¥2,650.00JP¥4,032.003
Oct ’24JP¥2,366.67
JP¥2,583.33
+9.2%
7.1%JP¥2,766.67JP¥2,333.33JP¥4,135.003
Sep ’24JP¥2,595.67
JP¥2,583.33
-0.5%
7.1%JP¥2,766.67JP¥2,333.33JP¥3,720.003
Aug ’24JP¥2,263.67
JP¥1,938.89
-14.3%
22.4%JP¥2,333.33JP¥1,333.33JP¥3,060.003
Jul ’24JP¥2,055.67
JP¥1,938.89
-5.7%
22.4%JP¥2,333.33JP¥1,333.33JP¥2,979.003
Jun ’24JP¥1,950.00
JP¥1,938.89
-0.6%
22.4%JP¥2,333.33JP¥1,333.33JP¥2,423.503
May ’24JP¥2,080.00
JP¥1,927.78
-7.3%
22.0%JP¥2,300.00JP¥1,333.33JP¥2,633.003
Apr ’24JP¥1,976.67
JP¥1,657.78
-16.1%
27.4%JP¥2,300.00JP¥1,333.33JP¥3,050.003
Mar ’24JP¥1,363.33
JP¥1,413.33
+3.7%
7.7%JP¥1,566.67JP¥1,333.33JP¥2,881.003
Feb ’24JP¥1,641.67
JP¥1,413.33
-13.9%
7.7%JP¥1,566.67JP¥1,333.33JP¥2,056.333
Jan ’24JP¥1,593.33
JP¥1,312.22
-17.6%
16.5%JP¥1,566.67JP¥1,036.67JP¥1,959.673
Dec ’23JP¥1,465.00
JP¥1,312.22
-10.4%
16.5%JP¥1,566.67JP¥1,036.67JP¥2,031.003
Nov ’23JP¥1,341.67
JP¥1,223.33
-8.8%
10.8%JP¥1,333.33JP¥1,036.67JP¥2,174.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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