Seria Co., Ltd.

TSE:2782 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥206.5b

Seria Valuation

Is 2782 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2782 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 2782 (¥2745) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥4341.63)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 2782 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2782?

Key metric: As 2782 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 2782. This is calculated by dividing 2782's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 2782's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19x
EarningsJP¥10.85b
Market CapJP¥206.53b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 2782's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 2782 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16x
2678 ASKUL
9.5x-3.7%JP¥179.2b
8273 Izumi
12.3x11.2%JP¥223.5b
4385 Mercari
25x16.4%JP¥339.4b
2653 Aeon Kyushu
17.3xn/aJP¥88.9b
2782 Seria
19x6.9%JP¥206.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 2782 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19x) compared to the peer average (16x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2782's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Multiline Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
2782 19.0xIndustry Avg. 13.9xNo. of Companies5PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 2782 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19x) compared to the JP Multiline Retail industry average (13.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2782's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2782 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19x
Fair PE Ratio14.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 2782 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2782 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥2,745.00
JP¥2,991.67
+9.0%
10.2%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,400.00n/a6
Nov ’25JP¥2,875.00
JP¥2,933.33
+2.0%
11.1%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,400.00n/a6
Oct ’25JP¥3,470.00
JP¥2,993.33
-13.7%
8.8%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,700.00n/a6
Sep ’25JP¥3,425.00
JP¥2,993.33
-12.6%
8.8%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,700.00n/a6
Aug ’25JP¥3,350.00
JP¥2,896.67
-13.5%
10.8%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,400.00n/a6
Jul ’25JP¥2,892.00
JP¥2,866.67
-0.9%
11.8%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,300.00n/a6
Jun ’25JP¥2,720.00
JP¥2,866.67
+5.4%
11.8%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,300.00n/a6
May ’25JP¥2,740.00
JP¥2,873.33
+4.9%
14.3%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,050.00n/a6
Apr ’25JP¥2,923.00
JP¥2,831.67
-3.1%
14.6%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,050.00n/a6
Mar ’25JP¥2,997.00
JP¥2,765.00
-7.7%
15.8%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,050.00n/a6
Feb ’25JP¥2,809.00
JP¥2,448.33
-12.8%
20.0%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,000.00n/a6
Jan ’25JP¥2,629.00
JP¥2,328.57
-11.4%
19.9%JP¥3,400.00JP¥1,950.00n/a7
Dec ’24JP¥2,374.00
JP¥2,328.57
-1.9%
19.9%JP¥3,400.00JP¥1,950.00n/a7
Nov ’24JP¥2,053.00
JP¥2,364.29
+15.2%
19.7%JP¥3,400.00JP¥1,950.00JP¥2,875.007
Oct ’24JP¥2,202.00
JP¥2,392.86
+8.7%
19.2%JP¥3,400.00JP¥1,950.00JP¥3,470.007
Sep ’24JP¥2,310.00
JP¥2,393.75
+3.6%
18.0%JP¥3,400.00JP¥1,950.00JP¥3,425.008
Aug ’24JP¥2,411.00
JP¥2,400.00
-0.5%
17.7%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥3,350.008
Jul ’24JP¥2,296.00
JP¥2,437.50
+6.2%
16.4%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥2,892.008
Jun ’24JP¥2,233.00
JP¥2,500.00
+12.0%
16.1%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥2,720.007
May ’24JP¥2,452.00
JP¥2,635.71
+7.5%
14.1%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,350.00JP¥2,740.007
Apr ’24JP¥2,622.00
JP¥2,692.86
+2.7%
13.7%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,350.00JP¥2,923.007
Mar ’24JP¥2,600.00
JP¥2,692.86
+3.6%
13.7%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,350.00JP¥2,997.007
Feb ’24JP¥2,900.00
JP¥2,664.29
-8.1%
14.4%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,350.00JP¥2,809.007
Jan ’24JP¥2,869.00
JP¥2,607.14
-9.1%
10.8%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,350.00JP¥2,629.007
Dec ’23JP¥2,553.00
JP¥2,607.14
+2.1%
10.8%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,350.00JP¥2,374.007
Nov ’23JP¥2,398.00
JP¥2,704.29
+12.8%
9.1%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,400.00JP¥2,053.007

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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