Stock Analysis

Why We're Not Concerned Yet About PAL GROUP Holdings CO., LTD.'s (TSE:2726) 25% Share Price Plunge

TSE:2726
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PAL GROUP Holdings CO., LTD. (TSE:2726) shares have had a horrible month, losing 25% after a relatively good period beforehand. Looking back over the past twelve months the stock has been a solid performer regardless, with a gain of 20%.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that PAL GROUP Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Japan, where the median P/E ratio is around 15x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

Recent times have been advantageous for PAL GROUP Holdings as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this strong earnings performance might be about to tail off. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

View our latest analysis for PAL GROUP Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:2726 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 12th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think PAL GROUP Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Some Growth For PAL GROUP Holdings?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like PAL GROUP Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 30% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 4,714% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the two analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 11% over the next year. That's shaping up to be similar to the 11% growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that PAL GROUP Holdings' P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On PAL GROUP Holdings' P/E

Following PAL GROUP Holdings' share price tumble, its P/E is now hanging on to the median market P/E. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that PAL GROUP Holdings maintains its moderate P/E off the back of its forecast growth being in line with the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a high or low P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with PAL GROUP Holdings.

You might be able to find a better investment than PAL GROUP Holdings. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether PAL GROUP Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.