Stock Analysis

I.A Group (TYO:7509) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

TSE:7509
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, I.A Group Corporation (TYO:7509) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for I.A Group

What Is I.A Group's Debt?

As you can see below, I.A Group had JP¥10.2b of debt, at September 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has JP¥1.72b in cash leading to net debt of about JP¥8.47b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
JASDAQ:7509 Debt to Equity History December 22nd 2020

A Look At I.A Group's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that I.A Group had liabilities of JP¥10.1b due within 12 months and liabilities of JP¥8.23b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had JP¥1.72b in cash and JP¥1.36b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by JP¥15.2b.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the JP¥4.84b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, I.A Group would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is I.A Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year I.A Group had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 14%, to JP¥34b. That's not what we would hope to see.

Caveat Emptor

While I.A Group's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost JP¥484m at the EBIT level. Combining this information with the significant liabilities we already touched on makes us very hesitant about this stock, to say the least. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. But we think that is unlikely since it is low on liquid assets, and made a loss of JP¥769m in the last year. So we think this stock is quite risky. We'd prefer to pass. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Take risks, for example - I.A Group has 4 warning signs (and 2 which are potentially serious) we think you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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