KATITAS Valuation

Is 8919 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8919 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8919 (¥2078) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥3413.86)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8919 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8919?

Key metric: As 8919 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 8919. This is calculated by dividing 8919's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 8919's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18x
EarningsJP¥9.04b
Market CapJP¥162.49b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8919's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8919 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.2x
8923 Tosei
9.2x4.6%JP¥114.0b
8897 MIRARTH HOLDINGSInc
6.5xn/aJP¥66.5b
8871 GOLDCRESTLtd
16.2x3.0%JP¥98.2b
3498 Kasumigaseki CapitalLtd
24.7x39.8%JP¥124.1b
8919 KATITAS
18x9.7%JP¥162.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 8919 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x) compared to the peer average (14.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8919's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Real Estate Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
8919 18.0xIndustry Avg. 12.1xNo. of Companies17PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8919 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x) compared to the JP Real Estate industry average (12x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8919's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8919 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18x
Fair PE Ratio13.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 8919 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 8919 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥2,078.00
JP¥2,499.38
+20.3%
22.3%JP¥3,600.00JP¥1,850.00n/a8
Nov ’25JP¥1,940.00
JP¥2,388.75
+23.1%
25.2%JP¥3,500.00JP¥1,730.00n/a8
Oct ’25JP¥2,011.00
JP¥2,357.50
+17.2%
26.1%JP¥3,500.00JP¥1,730.00n/a8
Sep ’25JP¥1,878.00
JP¥2,357.50
+25.5%
26.1%JP¥3,500.00JP¥1,730.00n/a8
Aug ’25JP¥1,777.00
JP¥2,416.25
+36.0%
23.7%JP¥3,500.00JP¥1,850.00n/a8
Jul ’25JP¥1,784.00
JP¥2,453.75
+37.5%
22.6%JP¥3,500.00JP¥1,850.00n/a8
Jun ’25JP¥1,593.00
JP¥2,491.25
+56.4%
20.9%JP¥3,500.00JP¥1,980.00n/a8
May ’25JP¥1,915.00
JP¥2,603.89
+36.0%
23.6%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,035.00n/a9
Apr ’25JP¥1,962.00
JP¥2,603.89
+32.7%
23.6%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,035.00n/a9
Mar ’25JP¥2,047.00
JP¥2,620.56
+28.0%
23.1%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,035.00n/a9
Feb ’25JP¥1,816.00
JP¥2,767.78
+52.4%
25.0%JP¥4,500.00JP¥2,200.00n/a9
Jan ’25JP¥2,189.00
JP¥2,940.00
+34.3%
24.9%JP¥4,500.00JP¥2,350.00n/a9
Dec ’24JP¥2,156.00
JP¥2,940.00
+36.4%
24.9%JP¥4,500.00JP¥2,350.00n/a9
Nov ’24JP¥2,039.00
JP¥3,123.64
+53.2%
20.8%JP¥4,500.00JP¥2,320.00JP¥1,940.0011
Oct ’24JP¥2,178.00
JP¥3,203.64
+47.1%
17.9%JP¥4,500.00JP¥2,400.00JP¥2,011.0011
Sep ’24JP¥2,317.00
JP¥3,221.82
+39.1%
17.1%JP¥4,500.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,878.0011
Aug ’24JP¥2,546.00
JP¥3,299.09
+29.6%
15.8%JP¥4,500.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,777.0011
Jul ’24JP¥2,478.00
JP¥3,299.09
+33.1%
15.8%JP¥4,500.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,784.0011
Jun ’24JP¥2,504.00
JP¥3,344.55
+33.6%
14.5%JP¥4,500.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,593.0011
May ’24JP¥2,662.00
JP¥3,503.91
+31.6%
14.8%JP¥4,600.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,915.0011
Apr ’24JP¥2,579.00
JP¥3,504.30
+35.9%
15.5%JP¥4,600.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,962.0010
Mar ’24JP¥2,640.00
JP¥3,654.30
+38.4%
12.1%JP¥4,600.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥2,047.0010
Feb ’24JP¥3,135.00
JP¥3,698.80
+18.0%
13.1%JP¥4,700.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥1,816.0010
Jan ’24JP¥3,020.00
JP¥3,698.80
+22.5%
13.1%JP¥4,700.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,189.0010
Dec ’23JP¥3,225.00
JP¥3,648.80
+13.1%
13.4%JP¥4,700.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,156.0010
Nov ’23JP¥3,315.00
JP¥3,643.80
+9.9%
13.3%JP¥4,700.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,039.0010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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