Sumitomo Realty & Development Co., Ltd.

TSE:8830 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥2.2t

Sumitomo Realty & Development Valuation

Is 8830 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8830 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8830 (¥4702) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥1981.86)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8830 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8830?

Key metric: As 8830 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 8830. This is calculated by dividing 8830's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 8830's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.3x
EarningsJP¥180.71b
Market CapJP¥2.19t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8830's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8830 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.2x
8802 Mitsubishi Estate
14.8x4.6%JP¥2.6t
1925 Daiwa House Industry
9.9x4.2%JP¥3.0t
8801 Mitsui Fudosan
19.1x11.1%JP¥3.5t
1878 Daito Trust ConstructionLtd
13.1x4.0%JP¥1.1t
8830 Sumitomo Realty & Development
12.3x4.3%JP¥2.2t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 8830 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the peer average (14.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8830's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Real Estate Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
8830 12.3xIndustry Avg. 12.1xNo. of Companies17PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8830 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the JP Real Estate industry average (12.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8830's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8830 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.3x
Fair PE Ratio17.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 8830 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 8830 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥4,702.00
JP¥5,800.91
+23.4%
14.1%JP¥7,420.00JP¥4,440.00n/a11
Nov ’25JP¥4,604.00
JP¥5,797.27
+25.9%
14.2%JP¥7,420.00JP¥4,440.00n/a11
Oct ’25JP¥4,860.00
JP¥5,797.27
+19.3%
14.2%JP¥7,420.00JP¥4,440.00n/a11
Sep ’25JP¥4,965.00
JP¥5,899.09
+18.8%
12.3%JP¥7,420.00JP¥4,760.00n/a11
Aug ’25JP¥4,545.00
JP¥5,913.00
+30.1%
12.7%JP¥7,400.00JP¥4,760.00n/a10
Jul ’25JP¥4,783.00
JP¥5,963.00
+24.7%
13.0%JP¥7,400.00JP¥4,760.00n/a10
Jun ’25JP¥4,903.00
JP¥6,188.00
+26.2%
13.6%JP¥7,400.00JP¥4,760.00n/a10
May ’25JP¥5,393.00
JP¥5,803.64
+7.6%
13.4%JP¥6,800.00JP¥4,500.00n/a11
Apr ’25JP¥5,587.00
JP¥5,085.45
-9.0%
14.3%JP¥6,800.00JP¥4,000.00n/a11
Mar ’25JP¥4,511.00
JP¥4,771.82
+5.8%
12.9%JP¥5,860.00JP¥3,810.00n/a11
Feb ’25JP¥4,653.00
JP¥4,578.18
-1.6%
14.1%JP¥5,860.00JP¥3,810.00n/a11
Jan ’25JP¥4,194.00
JP¥4,388.33
+4.6%
13.0%JP¥5,860.00JP¥3,810.00n/a12
Dec ’24JP¥4,263.00
JP¥4,345.00
+1.9%
13.4%JP¥5,860.00JP¥3,700.00n/a12
Nov ’24JP¥3,879.00
JP¥4,208.46
+8.5%
14.8%JP¥5,780.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥4,604.0013
Oct ’24JP¥3,886.00
JP¥4,162.31
+7.1%
15.5%JP¥5,780.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥4,860.0013
Sep ’24JP¥3,797.00
JP¥4,069.23
+7.2%
15.2%JP¥5,780.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥4,965.0013
Aug ’24JP¥3,827.00
JP¥3,985.38
+4.1%
16.5%JP¥5,780.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥4,545.0013
Jul ’24JP¥3,553.00
JP¥3,962.31
+11.5%
16.9%JP¥5,780.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥4,783.0013
Jun ’24JP¥3,481.00
JP¥3,721.54
+6.9%
18.1%JP¥5,780.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥4,903.0013
May ’24JP¥3,148.00
JP¥3,586.67
+13.9%
17.6%JP¥5,340.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥5,393.0012
Apr ’24JP¥2,982.00
JP¥3,753.33
+25.9%
15.4%JP¥5,340.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥5,587.0012
Mar ’24JP¥3,189.00
JP¥3,843.08
+20.5%
13.2%JP¥5,340.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥4,511.0013
Feb ’24JP¥3,125.00
JP¥3,870.00
+23.8%
13.4%JP¥5,340.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥4,653.0013
Jan ’24JP¥3,121.00
JP¥4,023.85
+28.9%
11.2%JP¥5,340.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥4,194.0013
Dec ’23JP¥3,583.00
JP¥4,054.62
+13.2%
10.8%JP¥5,340.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥4,263.0013
Nov ’23JP¥3,397.00
JP¥4,046.92
+19.1%
10.6%JP¥5,340.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,879.0013

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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