Keihanshin Building Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:8818) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥20.00 per share on 5th of December. The payment will take the dividend yield to 2.7%, which is in line with the average for the industry.
Keihanshin Building's Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions
We aren't too impressed by dividend yields unless they can be sustained over time. Based on the last payment, Keihanshin Building was quite comfortably earning enough to cover the dividend. This means that a large portion of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.
The next year is set to see EPS grow by 3.7%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 49%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
See our latest analysis for Keihanshin Building
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥16.00 in 2015 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥40.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.6% a year over that time. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. Keihanshin Building might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.
The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Earnings have grown at around 3.9% a year for the past five years, which isn't massive but still better than seeing them shrink. Growth of 3.9% per annum is not particularly high, which might explain why the company is paying out a higher proportion of earnings. While this isn't necessarily a negative, it definitely signals that dividend growth could be constrained in the future unless earnings start to pick up again.
In Summary
Overall, it's great to see the dividend being raised and that it is still in a sustainable range. The dividend has been at reasonable levels historically, but that hasn't translated into a consistent payment. Taking all of this into consideration, the dividend looks viable moving forward, but investors should be mindful that the company has pushed the boundaries of sustainability in the past and may do so again.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 3 warning signs for Keihanshin Building you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:8818
Keihanshin Building
Keihanshin Building Co., Ltd. leases buildings in Japan.
Average dividend payer low.
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