TKP Corporation (TSE:3479) Interim Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

Last week, you might have seen that TKP Corporation (TSE:3479) released its interim result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 9.2% to JP¥1,634 in the past week. TKP reported in line with analyst predictions, delivering revenues of JP¥50b and statutory earnings per share of JP¥90.73, suggesting the business is executing well and in line with its plan. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

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Following the latest results, TKP's four analysts are now forecasting revenues of JP¥104.7b in 2026. This would be a notable 18% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to leap 29% to JP¥101. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of JP¥103.9b and earnings per share (EPS) of JP¥101 in 2026. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

See our latest analysis for TKP

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at JP¥1,925. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on TKP, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at JP¥2,000 and the most bearish at JP¥1,850 per share. This is a very narrow spread of estimates, implying either that TKP is an easy company to value, or - more likely - the analysts are relying heavily on some key assumptions.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The analysts are definitely expecting TKP's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 39% annualised growth to the end of 2026 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 7.0% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 4.3% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that TKP is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at JP¥1,925, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for TKP going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for TKP (1 is concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.