Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd.

TSE:4578 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥4.3t

Otsuka Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Otsuka Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 10% and 2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 10.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.5% in 3 years.

Key information

10.0%

Earnings growth rate

10.1%

EPS growth rate

Pharmaceuticals earnings growth11.0%
Revenue growth rate2.0%
Future return on equity9.5%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated16 Jan 2025

Recent future growth updates

Earnings Miss: Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd. Missed EPS By 10% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Nov 04
Earnings Miss: Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd. Missed EPS By 10% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd. Just Beat EPS By 57%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Aug 05
Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd. Just Beat EPS By 57%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

May 02
Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

Recent updates

Calculating The Fair Value Of Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:4578)

Jan 13
Calculating The Fair Value Of Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:4578)

Earnings Miss: Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd. Missed EPS By 10% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Nov 04
Earnings Miss: Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd. Missed EPS By 10% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:4578) Price In Tune With Earnings

Oct 29
Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:4578) Price In Tune With Earnings

Is Otsuka Holdings (TSE:4578) A Risky Investment?

Oct 07
Is Otsuka Holdings (TSE:4578) A Risky Investment?

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:4578)

Aug 26
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:4578)

Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd. Just Beat EPS By 57%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Aug 05
Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd. Just Beat EPS By 57%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Getting In Cheap On Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:4578) Might Be Difficult

Jul 14
Getting In Cheap On Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:4578) Might Be Difficult

Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

May 02
Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

Is There An Opportunity With Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:4578) 24% Undervaluation?

Apr 20
Is There An Opportunity With Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:4578) 24% Undervaluation?

Is Otsuka Holdings (TSE:4578) A Risky Investment?

Mar 15
Is Otsuka Holdings (TSE:4578) A Risky Investment?

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSE:4578 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (JPY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20272,435,156293,425254,666N/A4
12/31/20262,355,651269,342244,853N/A9
12/31/20252,322,117282,771262,909N/A10
12/31/20242,303,561240,825179,933N/A10
9/30/20242,269,564151,575N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20242,179,961126,817N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20242,089,741137,563N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20232,018,568121,616N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20231,950,959184,702135,359226,774N/A
6/30/20231,871,228166,860122,224206,555N/A
3/31/20231,806,034172,194111,337226,032N/A
12/31/20221,737,998133,906N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20221,656,978109,84553,563202,725N/A
6/30/20221,593,768103,80972,220219,752N/A
3/31/20221,541,795104,036101,635213,365N/A
12/31/20211,498,276125,463115,712228,864N/A
9/30/20211,463,284147,019N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20211,446,198152,734N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20211,420,055155,109N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20201,422,826148,137N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20201,434,441143,398103,870198,659N/A
6/30/20201,420,552146,198131,591216,159N/A
3/31/20201,421,844145,709141,592220,990N/A
12/31/20191,396,240127,151N/AN/AN/A
9/30/20191,372,665116,333149,898222,128N/A
6/30/20191,344,78786,379112,554183,817N/A
3/31/20191,311,28778,91877,033150,389N/A
12/31/20181,291,98182,49262,213135,821N/A
9/30/20181,269,004117,10654,841122,032N/A
6/30/20181,262,916133,942N/A93,786N/A
3/31/20181,254,410114,206N/A106,043N/A
12/31/20171,239,952112,492N/A102,832N/A
9/30/20171,211,77275,029N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20171,196,15488,267N/A104,452N/A
3/31/20171,193,15994,933N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20161,195,54792,563N/A142,004N/A
9/30/20161,240,87471,521N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20161,294,17761,301N/A119,802N/A
3/31/20161,342,72868,735N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20151,445,22784,053N/A253,873N/A
12/31/20141,599,424151,237N/A118,047N/A
9/30/20141,541,631163,443N/A178,279N/A
6/30/20141,515,577156,499N/AN/AN/A
3/31/20141,452,759150,956N/A226,461N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 4578's forecast earnings growth (10% per year) is above the savings rate (0.3%).

Earnings vs Market: 4578's earnings (10% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the JP market (8.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 4578's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: 4578's revenue (2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the JP market (4.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 4578's revenue (2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 4578's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.5%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/22 10:40
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/22 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd. is covered by 19 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Atsushi SekiBarclays
Koichi MameganoBofA Global Research
Hidemaru YamaguchiCitigroup Inc