Stock Analysis

There's No Escaping Ono Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:4528) Muted Earnings

Published
TSE:4528

Ono Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:4528) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.1x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 15x and even P/E's above 23x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

Recent times have been advantageous for Ono Pharmaceutical as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Ono Pharmaceutical

TSE:4528 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 24th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Ono Pharmaceutical will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Ono Pharmaceutical would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 15%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 80% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 5.0% per annum as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 9.6% per year.

With this information, we are not surprised that Ono Pharmaceutical is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

What We Can Learn From Ono Pharmaceutical's P/E?

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Ono Pharmaceutical maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Ono Pharmaceutical, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Ono Pharmaceutical, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.