Stock Analysis

What You Can Learn From Kadokawa Corporation's (TSE:9468) P/E After Its 30% Share Price Crash

TSE:9468
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Kadokawa Corporation (TSE:9468) shares have had a horrible month, losing 30% after a relatively good period beforehand. The last month has meant the stock is now only up 8.8% during the last year.

Even after such a large drop in price, Kadokawa's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 40.8x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 13x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Kadokawa has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Kadokawa

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:9468 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 5th 2025
Keen to find out how analysts think Kadokawa's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Growth For Kadokawa?

Kadokawa's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 71%. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 15% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 31% each year over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 11% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Kadokawa's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Kadokawa's P/E?

Kadokawa's shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Kadokawa maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Kadokawa that we have uncovered.

You might be able to find a better investment than Kadokawa. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kadokawa might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.