TV Asahi Holdings Corporation

TSE:9409 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥219.1b

TVhi Holdings Valuation

Is 9409 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9409 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
JP¥3.46k
Fair Value
37.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
5
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 9409 (¥2156) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥3457.28)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9409 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9409?

Key metric: As 9409 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9409. This is calculated by dividing 9409's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9409's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12x
EarningsJP¥18.22b
Market CapJP¥219.11b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9409's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9409 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.7x
4676 Fuji Media Holdings
8.6x2.1%JP¥339.9b
9413 TV TOKYO Holdings
15x11.0%JP¥81.7b
9401 TBS HoldingsInc
9.6x-7.1%JP¥594.8b
9404 Nippon Television Holdings
17.6x5.1%JP¥650.5b
9409 TVhi Holdings
12x2.6%JP¥219.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9409 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12x) compared to the peer average (12.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9409's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Media Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
9409 12.0xIndustry Avg. 16.5xNo. of Companies14PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9409 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12x) compared to the JP Media industry average (16.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9409's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9409 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12x
Fair PE Ratio19.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9409 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9409 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥2,156.00
JP¥2,376.00
+10.2%
8.5%JP¥2,650.00JP¥2,050.00n/a5
Jan ’26JP¥2,293.00
JP¥2,376.00
+3.6%
8.5%JP¥2,650.00JP¥2,050.00n/a5
Dec ’25JP¥2,182.00
JP¥2,230.00
+2.2%
4.9%JP¥2,380.00JP¥2,050.00n/a5
Nov ’25JP¥1,960.00
JP¥2,246.00
+14.6%
5.0%JP¥2,380.00JP¥2,050.00n/a5
Oct ’25JP¥2,010.00
JP¥2,246.00
+11.7%
5.0%JP¥2,380.00JP¥2,050.00n/a5
Sep ’25JP¥1,990.00
JP¥2,160.00
+8.5%
8.1%JP¥2,380.00JP¥1,920.00n/a5
Aug ’25JP¥2,066.00
JP¥2,168.00
+4.9%
8.2%JP¥2,380.00JP¥1,920.00n/a5
Jul ’25JP¥2,166.00
JP¥2,168.00
+0.09%
8.2%JP¥2,380.00JP¥1,920.00n/a5
Jun ’25JP¥2,012.00
JP¥2,098.00
+4.3%
14.0%JP¥2,380.00JP¥1,570.00n/a5
May ’25JP¥2,050.00
JP¥2,022.00
-1.4%
14.6%JP¥2,380.00JP¥1,570.00n/a5
Apr ’25JP¥2,140.00
JP¥1,855.00
-13.3%
9.4%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,570.00n/a4
Mar ’25JP¥1,995.00
JP¥1,855.00
-7.0%
9.4%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,570.00n/a4
Feb ’25JP¥1,781.00
JP¥1,832.50
+2.9%
9.7%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,570.00n/a4
Jan ’25JP¥1,607.00
JP¥1,896.67
+18.0%
14.9%JP¥2,180.00JP¥1,510.00JP¥2,293.003
Dec ’24JP¥1,710.00
JP¥1,896.67
+10.9%
14.9%JP¥2,180.00JP¥1,510.00JP¥2,182.003
Nov ’24JP¥1,643.00
JP¥1,896.67
+15.4%
14.9%JP¥2,180.00JP¥1,510.00JP¥1,960.003
Oct ’24JP¥1,690.00
JP¥1,896.67
+12.2%
14.9%JP¥2,180.00JP¥1,510.00JP¥2,010.003
Sep ’24JP¥1,743.00
JP¥1,896.67
+8.8%
14.9%JP¥2,180.00JP¥1,510.00JP¥1,990.003
Aug ’24JP¥1,819.00
JP¥1,755.00
-3.5%
14.0%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,510.00JP¥2,066.002
Jul ’24JP¥1,641.00
JP¥1,805.00
+10.0%
16.3%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,510.00JP¥2,166.002
Jun ’24JP¥1,504.00
JP¥1,786.67
+18.8%
12.5%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,012.003
May ’24JP¥1,566.00
JP¥1,786.67
+14.1%
12.5%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,050.003
Apr ’24JP¥1,507.00
JP¥1,682.50
+11.6%
15.4%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥2,140.004
Mar ’24JP¥1,446.00
JP¥1,590.00
+10.0%
18.6%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,220.00JP¥1,995.005
Feb ’24JP¥1,333.00
JP¥1,590.00
+19.3%
18.6%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,220.00JP¥1,781.005
Jan ’24JP¥1,340.00
JP¥1,590.00
+18.7%
18.6%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,220.00JP¥1,607.005
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
JP¥2.38k
Fair Value
9.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
5
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/10 18:47
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/10 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

TV Asahi Holdings Corporation is covered by 18 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Yoshitaka NagaoBofA Global Research
Soichiro FukudaCitigroup Global Markets Japan Inc.
Hiroki KondoCitigroup Inc