TV Asahi Holdings Corporation

TSE:9409 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥209.0b

TVhi Holdings Valuation

Is 9409 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9409 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9409 (¥2057) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥3183.18)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9409 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9409?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

9409 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.6x
PEG Ratio3.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9409's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9409 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.7x
4676 Fuji Media Holdings
9.5x1.5%JP¥370.9b
9413 TV TOKYO Holdings
17.7x8.8%JP¥101.7b
9404 Nippon Television Holdings
15.9x4.2%JP¥589.3b
9401 TBS HoldingsInc
15.6x-0.8%JP¥667.7b
9409 TVhi Holdings
11.6x3.3%JP¥209.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9409 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the peer average (14.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9409's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Media Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.8%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.8%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9409 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the JP Media industry average (16.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9409's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9409 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.6x
Fair PE Ratio19.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9409 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9409 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥2,057.00
JP¥2,246.00
+9.2%
5.0%JP¥2,380.00JP¥2,050.00n/a5
Sep ’25JP¥1,990.00
JP¥2,160.00
+8.5%
8.1%JP¥2,380.00JP¥1,920.00n/a5
Aug ’25JP¥2,066.00
JP¥2,168.00
+4.9%
8.2%JP¥2,380.00JP¥1,920.00n/a5
Jul ’25JP¥2,166.00
JP¥2,168.00
+0.09%
8.2%JP¥2,380.00JP¥1,920.00n/a5
Jun ’25JP¥2,012.00
JP¥2,098.00
+4.3%
14.0%JP¥2,380.00JP¥1,570.00n/a5
May ’25JP¥2,050.00
JP¥2,022.00
-1.4%
14.6%JP¥2,380.00JP¥1,570.00n/a5
Apr ’25JP¥2,140.00
JP¥1,855.00
-13.3%
9.4%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,570.00n/a4
Mar ’25JP¥1,995.00
JP¥1,855.00
-7.0%
9.4%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,570.00n/a4
Feb ’25JP¥1,781.00
JP¥1,832.50
+2.9%
9.7%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,570.00n/a4
Jan ’25JP¥1,607.00
JP¥1,896.67
+18.0%
14.9%JP¥2,180.00JP¥1,510.00n/a3
Dec ’24JP¥1,710.00
JP¥1,896.67
+10.9%
14.9%JP¥2,180.00JP¥1,510.00n/a3
Nov ’24JP¥1,643.00
JP¥1,896.67
+15.4%
14.9%JP¥2,180.00JP¥1,510.00n/a3
Oct ’24JP¥1,690.00
JP¥1,896.67
+12.2%
14.9%JP¥2,180.00JP¥1,510.00n/a3
Sep ’24JP¥1,743.00
JP¥1,896.67
+8.8%
14.9%JP¥2,180.00JP¥1,510.00JP¥1,990.003
Aug ’24JP¥1,819.00
JP¥1,755.00
-3.5%
14.0%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,510.00JP¥2,066.002
Jul ’24JP¥1,641.00
JP¥1,805.00
+10.0%
16.3%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,510.00JP¥2,166.002
Jun ’24JP¥1,504.00
JP¥1,786.67
+18.8%
12.5%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,012.003
May ’24JP¥1,566.00
JP¥1,786.67
+14.1%
12.5%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,050.003
Apr ’24JP¥1,507.00
JP¥1,682.50
+11.6%
15.4%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥2,140.004
Mar ’24JP¥1,446.00
JP¥1,590.00
+10.0%
18.6%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,220.00JP¥1,995.005
Feb ’24JP¥1,333.00
JP¥1,590.00
+19.3%
18.6%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,220.00JP¥1,781.005
Jan ’24JP¥1,340.00
JP¥1,590.00
+18.7%
18.6%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,220.00JP¥1,607.005
Dec ’23JP¥1,366.00
JP¥1,606.00
+17.6%
17.3%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,300.00JP¥1,710.005
Nov ’23JP¥1,389.00
JP¥1,654.00
+19.1%
18.3%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,300.00JP¥1,643.005
Oct ’23JP¥1,401.00
JP¥1,654.00
+18.1%
18.3%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,300.00JP¥1,690.005
Sep ’23JP¥1,446.00
JP¥1,675.00
+15.8%
20.0%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,300.00JP¥1,743.004

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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