Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Lancers, Inc. (TSE:4484) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
What Is Lancers's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2024 Lancers had JP¥611.0m of debt, an increase on JP¥378.0m, over one year. But it also has JP¥1.69b in cash to offset that, meaning it has JP¥1.08b net cash.
A Look At Lancers' Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Lancers had liabilities of JP¥1.37b due within 12 months, and liabilities of JP¥544.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had JP¥1.69b in cash and JP¥644.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast JP¥415.0m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus suggests that Lancers has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Lancers boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
View our latest analysis for Lancers
Also good is that Lancers grew its EBIT at 18% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Lancers's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Lancers may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent two years, Lancers recorded free cash flow worth 56% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Summing Up
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Lancers has net cash of JP¥1.08b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 18% over the last year. So is Lancers's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Lancers .
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:4484
Solid track record with adequate balance sheet.
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