Stock Analysis

coconala Inc. (TSE:4176) Stock Rockets 32% But Many Are Still Ignoring The Company

TSE:4176
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coconala Inc. (TSE:4176) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 32% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Looking further back, the 11% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about coconala's P/S ratio of 1.4x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Interactive Media and Services industry in Japan is also close to 1.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

See our latest analysis for coconala

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:4176 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 4th 2024

What Does coconala's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, coconala has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Keen to find out how analysts think coconala's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is coconala's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like coconala's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 26% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 102% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 57% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 10%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that coconala is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What Does coconala's P/S Mean For Investors?

coconala appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Looking at coconala's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for coconala you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if coconala might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.