Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That MIXI (TSE:2121) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

TSE:2121
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies MIXI, Inc. (TSE:2121) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for MIXI

What Is MIXI's Net Debt?

As you can see below, MIXI had JP¥8.86b of debt, at December 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. But on the other hand it also has JP¥100.5b in cash, leading to a JP¥91.6b net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:2121 Debt to Equity History March 1st 2024

A Look At MIXI's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that MIXI had liabilities of JP¥27.9b due within 12 months and liabilities of JP¥8.81b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of JP¥100.5b as well as receivables valued at JP¥41.0b due within 12 months. So it can boast JP¥104.7b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus liquidity suggests that MIXI's balance sheet could take a hit just as well as Homer Simpson's head can take a punch. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Succinctly put, MIXI boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

In fact MIXI's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 37% in the last twelve months. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine MIXI's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While MIXI has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, MIXI created free cash flow amounting to 19% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that MIXI has net cash of JP¥91.6b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with MIXI's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example MIXI has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether MIXI is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.