Why We're Not Concerned Yet About KeePer Technical Laboratory Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:6036) 27% Share Price Plunge
The KeePer Technical Laboratory Co., Ltd. (TSE:6036) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.
Even after such a large drop in price, KeePer Technical Laboratory's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 32.5x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 14x and even P/E's below 10x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
KeePer Technical Laboratory certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
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The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as KeePer Technical Laboratory's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 16% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 107% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 21% per year as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 10% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that KeePer Technical Laboratory's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From KeePer Technical Laboratory's P/E?
Even after such a strong price drop, KeePer Technical Laboratory's P/E still exceeds the rest of the market significantly. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of KeePer Technical Laboratory's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for KeePer Technical Laboratory that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on KeePer Technical Laboratory, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:6036
KeePer Technical Laboratory
Develops, manufactures, and sells car coatings, car washing chemicals and equipment, and other products in Japan.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.