Toho Titanium Co., Ltd.

TSE:5727 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥73.5b

Toho Titanium Valuation

Is 5727 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 5727 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 5727 (¥1033) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥1629.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 5727 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5727?

Key metric: As 5727 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 5727. This is calculated by dividing 5727's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 5727's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio21x
EarningsJP¥3.50b
Market CapJP¥73.52b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 5727's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 5727 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.3x
1515 Nittetsu Mining
9.2xn/aJP¥70.5b
5726 OSAKA Titanium technologiesLtd
8.2x14.5%JP¥71.7b
5757 CK SAN-ETSU
11xn/aJP¥30.7b
5706 Mitsui Mining & Smelting
4.9x-10.4%JP¥269.6b
5727 Toho Titanium
21x23.6%JP¥73.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 5727 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21x) compared to the peer average (8.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 5727's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
5727 21.0xIndustry Avg. 8.9xNo. of Companies13PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 5727 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21x) compared to the JP Metals and Mining industry average (8.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 5727's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

5727 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21x
Fair PE Ratio16.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 5727 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 5727 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,033.00
JP¥1,650.00
+59.7%
21.2%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,300.00n/a2
Nov ’25JP¥1,024.00
JP¥1,650.00
+61.1%
21.2%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,300.00n/a2
Oct ’25JP¥1,147.00
JP¥1,650.00
+43.9%
21.2%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,300.00n/a2
Sep ’25JP¥1,206.00
JP¥1,775.00
+47.2%
26.8%JP¥2,250.00JP¥1,300.00n/a2
Aug ’25JP¥1,336.00
JP¥1,775.00
+32.9%
26.8%JP¥2,250.00JP¥1,300.00n/a2
Jul ’25JP¥1,424.00
JP¥1,775.00
+24.6%
26.8%JP¥2,250.00JP¥1,300.00n/a2
Jun ’25JP¥1,285.00
JP¥1,775.00
+38.1%
26.8%JP¥2,250.00JP¥1,300.00n/a2
May ’25JP¥1,374.00
JP¥2,275.00
+65.6%
20.9%JP¥2,750.00JP¥1,800.00n/a2
Apr ’25JP¥1,560.00
JP¥2,275.00
+45.8%
20.9%JP¥2,750.00JP¥1,800.00n/a2
Mar ’25JP¥1,652.00
JP¥2,275.00
+37.7%
20.9%JP¥2,750.00JP¥1,800.00n/a2
Feb ’25JP¥1,941.00
JP¥2,325.00
+19.8%
18.3%JP¥2,750.00JP¥1,900.00n/a2
Jan ’25JP¥1,896.00
JP¥2,325.00
+22.6%
18.3%JP¥2,750.00JP¥1,900.00n/a2
Dec ’24JP¥1,930.00
JP¥2,325.00
+20.5%
18.3%JP¥2,750.00JP¥1,900.00n/a2
Nov ’24JP¥1,992.00
JP¥2,325.00
+16.7%
18.3%JP¥2,750.00JP¥1,900.00JP¥1,024.002
Oct ’24JP¥1,793.00
JP¥2,500.00
+39.4%
24.0%JP¥3,100.00JP¥1,900.00JP¥1,147.002
Sep ’24JP¥2,025.00
JP¥2,500.00
+23.5%
24.0%JP¥3,100.00JP¥1,900.00JP¥1,206.002
Aug ’24JP¥2,048.00
JP¥2,646.67
+29.2%
17.7%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,336.003
Jul ’24JP¥1,744.00
JP¥2,646.67
+51.8%
17.7%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,424.003
Jun ’24JP¥1,925.00
JP¥2,846.67
+47.9%
7.2%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,285.003
May ’24JP¥2,035.00
JP¥2,846.67
+39.9%
7.2%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,374.003
Apr ’24JP¥2,205.00
JP¥2,846.67
+29.1%
7.2%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,560.003
Mar ’24JP¥1,962.00
JP¥2,846.67
+45.1%
7.2%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,652.003
Feb ’24JP¥2,382.00
JP¥3,316.67
+39.2%
7.0%JP¥3,550.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥1,941.003
Jan ’24JP¥2,790.00
JP¥3,316.67
+18.9%
7.0%JP¥3,550.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥1,896.003
Dec ’23JP¥2,733.00
JP¥3,123.33
+14.3%
6.3%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,970.00JP¥1,930.003
Nov ’23JP¥2,416.00
JP¥3,090.00
+27.9%
7.2%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,900.00JP¥1,992.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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