Maruichi Steel Tube Ltd.

TSE:5463 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥263.3b

Maruichi Steel Tube Valuation

Is 5463 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 5463 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 5463 (¥3290) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥4708.94)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 5463 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5463?

Key metric: As 5463 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 5463. This is calculated by dividing 5463's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 5463's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.8x
EarningsJP¥19.38b
Market CapJP¥263.26b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 5463's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 5463 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.7x
5471 Daido Steel
8.2x3.4%JP¥252.8b
5423 Tokyo Steel Manufacturing
7.1x3.5%JP¥156.5b
7485 Okaya
5.6x5.3%JP¥135.1b
5451 Yodogawa Steel Works
30xn/aJP¥151.7b
5463 Maruichi Steel Tube
13.8x7.6%JP¥267.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 5463 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the peer average (12.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 5463's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
5463 13.8xIndustry Avg. 8.8xNo. of Companies14PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 5463 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the JP Metals and Mining industry average (8.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 5463's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

5463 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.8x
Fair PE Ratio11.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 5463 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 5463 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥3,290.00
JP¥3,936.67
+19.7%
3.1%JP¥4,100.00JP¥3,810.00n/a3
Nov ’25JP¥3,304.00
JP¥3,936.67
+19.1%
3.1%JP¥4,100.00JP¥3,810.00n/a3
Oct ’25JP¥3,379.00
JP¥4,100.00
+21.3%
4.0%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,900.00n/a3
Sep ’25JP¥3,493.00
JP¥4,100.00
+17.4%
4.0%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,900.00n/a3
Aug ’25JP¥3,572.00
JP¥4,100.00
+14.8%
4.0%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,900.00n/a3
Jul ’25JP¥3,732.00
JP¥4,133.33
+10.8%
4.1%JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,900.00n/a3
Jun ’25JP¥3,742.00
JP¥4,075.00
+8.9%
11.3%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,300.00n/a4
May ’25JP¥4,003.00
JP¥4,075.00
+1.8%
11.3%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,300.00n/a4
Apr ’25JP¥3,988.00
JP¥4,000.00
+0.3%
11.5%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,300.00n/a4
Mar ’25JP¥3,986.00
JP¥3,887.50
-2.5%
10.9%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,300.00n/a4
Feb ’25JP¥3,816.00
JP¥3,850.00
+0.9%
9.7%JP¥4,350.00JP¥3,300.00n/a4
Jan ’25JP¥3,669.00
JP¥3,850.00
+4.9%
9.7%JP¥4,350.00JP¥3,300.00n/a4
Dec ’24JP¥3,847.00
JP¥3,850.00
+0.08%
9.7%JP¥4,350.00JP¥3,300.00n/a4
Nov ’24JP¥3,773.00
JP¥3,757.50
-0.4%
7.1%JP¥3,980.00JP¥3,300.00JP¥3,304.004
Oct ’24JP¥3,720.00
JP¥3,757.50
+1.0%
7.1%JP¥3,980.00JP¥3,300.00JP¥3,379.004
Sep ’24JP¥3,789.00
JP¥3,570.00
-5.8%
7.3%JP¥3,980.00JP¥3,300.00JP¥3,493.004
Aug ’24JP¥3,381.00
JP¥3,500.00
+3.5%
4.5%JP¥3,700.00JP¥3,300.00JP¥3,572.004
Jul ’24JP¥3,295.00
JP¥3,475.00
+5.5%
4.3%JP¥3,700.00JP¥3,300.00JP¥3,732.004
Jun ’24JP¥3,095.00
JP¥3,475.00
+12.3%
4.3%JP¥3,700.00JP¥3,300.00JP¥3,742.004
May ’24JP¥3,120.00
JP¥3,516.67
+12.7%
2.9%JP¥3,650.00JP¥3,400.00JP¥4,003.003
Apr ’24JP¥2,910.00
JP¥3,387.50
+16.4%
7.1%JP¥3,650.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥3,988.004
Mar ’24JP¥3,005.00
JP¥3,387.50
+12.7%
7.1%JP¥3,650.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥3,986.004
Feb ’24JP¥2,800.00
JP¥3,350.00
+19.6%
6.5%JP¥3,600.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥3,816.004
Jan ’24JP¥2,703.00
JP¥3,350.00
+23.9%
6.5%JP¥3,600.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥3,669.004
Dec ’23JP¥2,874.00
JP¥3,350.00
+16.6%
6.5%JP¥3,600.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥3,847.004
Nov ’23JP¥2,827.00
JP¥3,312.50
+17.2%
5.5%JP¥3,450.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥3,773.004

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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