Yotai Refractories Co., Ltd. (TSE:5357) will pay a dividend of ¥45.00 on the 9th of December. This makes the dividend yield 5.1%, which is above the industry average.
View our latest analysis for Yotai Refractories
Yotai Refractories' Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage
While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Prior to this announcement, Yotai Refractories' dividend was only 41% of earnings, however it was paying out 100% of free cash flows. This signals that the company is more focused on returning cash flow to shareholders, but it could mean that the dividend is exposed to cuts in the future.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to fall by 18.1% over the next year. If the dividend continues along the path it has been on recently, we estimate the payout ratio could be 75%, which is comfortable for the company to continue in the future.
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥9.00 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥90.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 26% a year over that time. Yotai Refractories has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.
The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Earnings per share has been crawling upwards at 4.9% per year. Growth of 4.9% per annum is not particularly high, which might explain why the company is paying out a higher proportion of earnings. This isn't bad in itself, but unless earnings growth pick up we wouldn't expect dividends to grow either.
In Summary
In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Yotai Refractories' payments are rock solid. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. To that end, Yotai Refractories has 4 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:5357
Yotai Refractories
Engages in the manufacture and sale of refractories and new ceramics, as well as related engineering business in Japan.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record and pays a dividend.