NOF Corporation

TSE:4403 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥611.4b

NOF Valuation

Is 4403 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4403 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4403 (¥2458.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥4542.54)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4403 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4403?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

4403 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10x
PEG Ratio2.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4403's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4403 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.3x
4182 Mitsubishi Gas Chemical Company
17.7x17.7%JP¥550.4b
4021 Nissan Chemical
19.5x6.5%JP¥726.3b
4004 Resonac Holdings
17.5x21.2%JP¥684.3b
4202 Daicel
6.7x4.3%JP¥391.9b
4403 NOF
16.2x5.6%JP¥611.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4403 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x) compared to the peer average (15.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4403's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.8%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.8%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4403 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x) compared to the JP Chemicals industry average (12.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4403's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4403 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.2x
Fair PE Ratio12.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4403 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4403 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥2,458.50
JP¥2,753.33
+12.0%
2.4%JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,660.00n/a3
Nov ’25JP¥2,434.50
JP¥2,753.33
+13.1%
2.4%JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,660.00n/a3
Oct ’25JP¥2,504.50
JP¥2,753.33
+9.9%
2.4%JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,660.00n/a3
Sep ’25JP¥2,269.00
JP¥2,753.33
+21.3%
2.4%JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,660.00n/a3
Aug ’25JP¥2,088.50
JP¥2,670.00
+27.8%
4.1%JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,530.00n/a3
Jul ’25JP¥2,189.50
JP¥2,670.00
+21.9%
4.1%JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,530.00n/a3
Jun ’25JP¥2,024.00
JP¥2,636.67
+30.3%
2.9%JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,530.00n/a3
May ’25JP¥2,143.00
JP¥2,833.44
+32.2%
3.8%JP¥2,967.00JP¥2,700.00n/a3
Apr ’25JP¥2,027.00
JP¥2,833.44
+39.8%
3.8%JP¥2,967.00JP¥2,700.00n/a3
Mar ’25JP¥2,238.33
JP¥2,833.33
+26.6%
3.8%JP¥2,966.67JP¥2,700.00n/a3
Feb ’25JP¥2,218.67
JP¥2,655.56
+19.7%
1.6%JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,600.00n/a3
Jan ’25JP¥2,335.33
JP¥2,611.11
+11.8%
2.6%JP¥2,700.00JP¥2,533.33n/a3
Dec ’24JP¥2,287.00
JP¥2,544.44
+11.3%
1.6%JP¥2,600.00JP¥2,500.00n/a3
Nov ’24JP¥2,113.33
JP¥2,494.44
+18.0%
3.5%JP¥2,600.00JP¥2,383.33JP¥2,434.503
Oct ’24JP¥1,992.00
JP¥2,438.89
+22.4%
2.0%JP¥2,500.00JP¥2,383.33JP¥2,504.503
Sep ’24JP¥2,204.00
JP¥2,438.89
+10.7%
2.0%JP¥2,500.00JP¥2,383.33JP¥2,269.003
Aug ’24JP¥2,039.67
JP¥2,305.56
+13.0%
0.9%JP¥2,333.33JP¥2,283.33JP¥2,088.503
Jul ’24JP¥2,054.33
JP¥2,305.56
+12.2%
0.9%JP¥2,333.33JP¥2,283.33JP¥2,189.503
Jun ’24JP¥2,010.00
JP¥2,327.78
+15.8%
1.5%JP¥2,366.67JP¥2,283.33JP¥2,024.003
May ’24JP¥2,096.67
JP¥2,311.11
+10.2%
2.5%JP¥2,366.67JP¥2,233.33JP¥2,143.003
Apr ’24JP¥2,056.67
JP¥2,311.11
+12.4%
2.5%JP¥2,366.67JP¥2,233.33JP¥2,027.003
Mar ’24JP¥1,936.67
JP¥2,311.11
+19.3%
2.5%JP¥2,366.67JP¥2,233.33JP¥2,238.333
Feb ’24JP¥1,833.33
JP¥2,255.56
+23.0%
0.7%JP¥2,266.67JP¥2,233.33JP¥2,218.673
Jan ’24JP¥1,760.00
JP¥2,250.00
+27.8%
0.7%JP¥2,266.67JP¥2,233.33JP¥2,335.332
Dec ’23JP¥1,930.00
JP¥2,216.67
+14.9%
2.3%JP¥2,266.67JP¥2,166.67JP¥2,287.002
Nov ’23JP¥1,703.33
JP¥2,116.67
+24.3%
2.4%JP¥2,166.67JP¥2,066.67JP¥2,113.332

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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