Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies KEIWA Incorporated (TSE:4251) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
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How Much Debt Does KEIWA Carry?
As you can see below, KEIWA had JP¥3.61b of debt at June 2024, down from JP¥4.52b a year prior. However, it does have JP¥8.94b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of JP¥5.34b.
How Strong Is KEIWA's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that KEIWA had liabilities of JP¥5.63b falling due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥2.62b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had JP¥8.94b in cash and JP¥4.87b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast JP¥5.57b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus suggests that KEIWA is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that KEIWA has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
The good news is that KEIWA has increased its EBIT by 6.4% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine KEIWA's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. KEIWA may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, KEIWA recorded free cash flow of 21% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Summing Up
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that KEIWA has net cash of JP¥5.34b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. On top of that, it increased its EBIT by 6.4% in the last twelve months. So is KEIWA's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that KEIWA is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is potentially serious...
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:4251
KEIWA
Manufactures and sells optical sheets and functional products in Japan.
Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.