Mitsui Chemicals, Inc.

TSE:4183 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥650.6b

Mitsui Chemicals Valuation

Is 4183 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4183 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4183 (¥3421) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥3247.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4183 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4183?

Key metric: As 4183 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4183. This is calculated by dividing 4183's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4183's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.6x
EarningsJP¥51.54b
Market CapJP¥650.58b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4183's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4183 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.7x
4042 Tosoh
11.7x7.8%JP¥650.7b
3405 Kuraray
12.3x11.1%JP¥645.6b
3402 Toray Industries
29.9x20.3%JP¥1.5t
4205 Zeon
9x0.06%JP¥297.1b
4183 Mitsui Chemicals
12.6x18.6%JP¥650.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4183 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x) compared to the peer average (15.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4183's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Chemicals Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4119 Nippon Pigment Holdings
0.7xn/aUS$31.69m
No more companies available in this PE range
4183 12.6xIndustry Avg. 12.0xNo. of Companies19PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4183 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x) compared to the JP Chemicals industry average (12x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4183's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4183 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.6x
Fair PE Ratio16.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4183 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4183 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥3,421.00
JP¥4,720.91
+38.0%
14.5%JP¥6,000.00JP¥3,650.00n/a11
Nov ’25JP¥3,479.00
JP¥4,802.73
+38.0%
13.1%JP¥6,000.00JP¥3,650.00n/a11
Oct ’25JP¥3,817.00
JP¥4,884.55
+28.0%
12.6%JP¥6,000.00JP¥3,650.00n/a11
Sep ’25JP¥3,891.00
JP¥4,926.67
+26.6%
11.4%JP¥6,000.00JP¥3,850.00n/a12
Aug ’25JP¥4,222.00
JP¥5,096.67
+20.7%
9.7%JP¥6,000.00JP¥3,850.00n/a12
Jul ’25JP¥4,417.00
JP¥5,109.17
+15.7%
9.7%JP¥6,000.00JP¥3,850.00n/a12
Jun ’25JP¥4,751.00
JP¥5,125.83
+7.9%
9.2%JP¥6,000.00JP¥3,950.00n/a12
May ’25JP¥4,470.00
JP¥4,935.00
+10.4%
7.9%JP¥5,500.00JP¥3,950.00n/a12
Apr ’25JP¥4,152.00
JP¥4,938.33
+18.9%
7.9%JP¥5,500.00JP¥3,950.00n/a12
Mar ’25JP¥4,274.00
JP¥4,906.67
+14.8%
12.6%JP¥5,500.00JP¥3,050.00n/a12
Feb ’25JP¥4,353.00
JP¥4,875.83
+12.0%
13.0%JP¥5,500.00JP¥3,050.00n/a12
Jan ’25JP¥4,182.00
JP¥4,820.00
+15.3%
12.7%JP¥5,500.00JP¥3,050.00n/a12
Dec ’24JP¥4,245.00
JP¥4,672.31
+10.1%
13.1%JP¥5,500.00JP¥3,050.00n/a13
Nov ’24JP¥3,840.00
JP¥4,406.15
+14.7%
16.2%JP¥5,500.00JP¥2,950.00JP¥3,479.0013
Oct ’24JP¥3,877.00
JP¥4,381.67
+13.0%
16.9%JP¥5,500.00JP¥2,950.00JP¥3,817.0012
Sep ’24JP¥3,978.00
JP¥4,319.17
+8.6%
17.3%JP¥5,500.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥3,891.0012
Aug ’24JP¥4,083.00
JP¥4,435.45
+8.6%
19.1%JP¥5,500.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥4,222.0011
Jul ’24JP¥4,229.00
JP¥4,322.73
+2.2%
19.3%JP¥5,500.00JP¥3,000.00JP¥4,417.0011
Jun ’24JP¥3,580.00
JP¥4,035.45
+12.7%
18.6%JP¥5,200.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥4,751.0011
May ’24JP¥3,470.00
JP¥4,001.82
+15.3%
18.9%JP¥5,200.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥4,470.0011
Apr ’24JP¥3,410.00
JP¥4,001.82
+17.4%
18.5%JP¥5,200.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥4,152.0011
Mar ’24JP¥3,300.00
JP¥3,992.73
+21.0%
18.5%JP¥5,200.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥4,274.0011
Feb ’24JP¥3,055.00
JP¥4,021.82
+31.6%
19.0%JP¥5,300.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥4,353.0011
Jan ’24JP¥2,975.00
JP¥4,014.00
+34.9%
19.8%JP¥5,300.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥4,182.0010
Dec ’23JP¥3,075.00
JP¥3,854.55
+25.4%
22.4%JP¥5,300.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥4,245.0011
Nov ’23JP¥2,786.00
JP¥3,940.00
+41.4%
21.9%JP¥5,300.00JP¥2,700.00JP¥3,840.0010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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