Tosoh Corporation

TSE:4042 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥650.7b

Tosoh Valuation

Is 4042 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4042 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4042 (¥2043) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥2318.5)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4042 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4042?

Key metric: As 4042 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4042. This is calculated by dividing 4042's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4042's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.7x
EarningsJP¥55.55b
Market CapJP¥650.72b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4042's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4042 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.9x
4183 Mitsui Chemicals
12.6x18.6%JP¥650.6b
3405 Kuraray
12.3x11.1%JP¥645.6b
3402 Toray Industries
29.9x20.3%JP¥1.5t
4205 Zeon
9x0.06%JP¥297.1b
4042 Tosoh
11.7x7.8%JP¥650.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4042 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the peer average (15.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4042's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Chemicals Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4119 Nippon Pigment Holdings
0.7xn/aUS$31.69m
No more companies available in this PE range
4042 11.7xIndustry Avg. 12.0xNo. of Companies19PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4042 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the JP Chemicals industry average (12x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4042's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4042 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.7x
Fair PE Ratio13.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4042 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4042 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥2,043.00
JP¥2,386.67
+16.8%
18.7%JP¥3,340.00JP¥1,940.00n/a9
Nov ’25JP¥1,904.50
JP¥2,355.56
+23.7%
19.4%JP¥3,340.00JP¥1,910.00n/a9
Oct ’25JP¥1,921.00
JP¥2,380.00
+23.9%
18.8%JP¥3,340.00JP¥1,910.00n/a9
Sep ’25JP¥1,875.00
JP¥2,380.00
+26.9%
18.8%JP¥3,340.00JP¥1,910.00n/a9
Aug ’25JP¥2,009.50
JP¥2,378.89
+18.4%
18.8%JP¥3,340.00JP¥1,900.00n/a9
Jul ’25JP¥2,099.00
JP¥2,271.25
+8.2%
13.3%JP¥2,850.00JP¥1,900.00n/a8
Jun ’25JP¥1,993.00
JP¥2,305.56
+15.7%
12.9%JP¥2,800.00JP¥1,900.00n/a9
May ’25JP¥2,172.00
JP¥2,340.00
+7.7%
11.3%JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,000.00n/a9
Apr ’25JP¥2,032.00
JP¥2,271.11
+11.8%
13.5%JP¥2,800.00JP¥1,850.00n/a9
Mar ’25JP¥2,040.50
JP¥2,232.22
+9.4%
13.3%JP¥2,800.00JP¥1,850.00n/a9
Feb ’25JP¥1,899.00
JP¥2,211.25
+16.4%
15.0%JP¥2,800.00JP¥1,850.00n/a8
Jan ’25JP¥1,801.00
JP¥2,198.75
+22.1%
15.5%JP¥2,800.00JP¥1,850.00n/a8
Dec ’24JP¥1,950.50
JP¥2,210.00
+13.3%
16.7%JP¥3,000.00JP¥1,850.00n/a9
Nov ’24JP¥1,870.50
JP¥2,187.78
+17.0%
16.6%JP¥3,000.00JP¥1,850.00JP¥1,904.509
Oct ’24JP¥1,918.00
JP¥2,176.67
+13.5%
17.3%JP¥3,000.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,921.009
Sep ’24JP¥1,922.50
JP¥2,203.33
+14.6%
19.8%JP¥3,000.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,875.009
Aug ’24JP¥1,857.00
JP¥2,171.11
+16.9%
20.9%JP¥3,000.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥2,009.509
Jul ’24JP¥1,699.00
JP¥2,141.11
+26.0%
22.0%JP¥3,000.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥2,099.009
Jun ’24JP¥1,605.00
JP¥2,174.44
+35.5%
18.7%JP¥2,970.00JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,993.009
May ’24JP¥1,827.00
JP¥2,188.89
+19.8%
18.2%JP¥2,970.00JP¥1,800.00JP¥2,172.009
Apr ’24JP¥1,797.00
JP¥2,102.22
+17.0%
22.7%JP¥2,970.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥2,032.009
Mar ’24JP¥1,853.00
JP¥1,996.67
+7.8%
27.3%JP¥2,970.00JP¥1,450.00JP¥2,040.509
Feb ’24JP¥1,686.00
JP¥1,691.11
+0.3%
28.2%JP¥3,000.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,899.009
Jan ’24JP¥1,570.00
JP¥1,737.78
+10.7%
26.8%JP¥3,000.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,801.009
Dec ’23JP¥1,626.00
JP¥1,765.56
+8.6%
26.0%JP¥3,000.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥1,950.509
Nov ’23JP¥1,569.00
JP¥1,870.00
+19.2%
24.1%JP¥3,100.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,870.509

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

Kaneka

JP¥216.1b

Engages in the manufacture and sale of polyvinyl chloride (PVC), crosslinked PVC, PVC-PVAc polymers, paste PVC, acryl grafted-vinyl chloride copolymer, and chlorinated PVC in Japan and internationally.

4118

JP¥3,435.00

7D

-7.8%

1Y

-8.6%

Daicel

JP¥362.3b

Engages in the materials, medical/healthcare, smart, safety, engineering plastics, and other businesses in Japan, China, and internationally.

4202

JP¥1,335.50

7D

-2.8%

1Y

-6.1%

Daido Steel

JP¥252.8b

Manufactures and sells steel products in Japan and internationally.

5471

JP¥1,185.50

7D

-0.04%

1Y

-6.5%