Stock Analysis

Toagosei (TSE:4045) Will Pay A Dividend Of ¥30.00

TSE:4045
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Toagosei Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:4045) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥30.00 per share on 31st of March. This means the annual payment is 3.8% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.

See our latest analysis for Toagosei

Toagosei's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Based on the last payment, Toagosei was paying only paying out a fraction of earnings, but the payment was a massive 110% of cash flows. While the business may be attempting to set a balanced dividend policy, a cash payout ratio this high might expose the dividend to being cut if the business ran into some challenges.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 6.1% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 50% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.

historic-dividend
TSE:4045 Historic Dividend August 5th 2024

Toagosei Has A Solid Track Record

Even over a long history of paying dividends, the company's distributions have been remarkably stable. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was ¥20.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥58.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 11% over that duration. We can see that payments have shown some very nice upward momentum without faltering, which provides some reassurance that future payments will also be reliable.

Toagosei Could Grow Its Dividend

Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. Toagosei has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 5.4% per annum. Toagosei definitely has the potential to grow its dividend in the future with earnings on an uptrend and a low payout ratio.

In Summary

Overall, it's not great to see that the dividend has been cut, but this might be explained by the payments being a bit high previously. While Toagosei is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for Toagosei that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.