The board of Tayca Corporation (TSE:4027) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥20.00 per share on the 10th of June. This means that the annual payment will be 2.4% of the current stock price, which is in line with the average for the industry.
See our latest analysis for Tayca
Tayca's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
We like a dividend to be consistent over the long term, so checking whether it is sustainable is important. However, prior to this announcement, Tayca's dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This means that most of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.
EPS is set to fall by 9.8% over the next 12 months if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues along the path it has been on recently, we estimate the payout ratio could be 47%, which is definitely feasible to continue.
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥16.00 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥38.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 9.0% over that duration. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. Tayca might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.
Dividend Growth Is Doubtful
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Tayca has seen earnings per share falling at 9.8% per year over the last five years. Declining earnings will inevitably lead to the company paying a lower dividend in line with lower profits.
In Summary
Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 2 warning signs for Tayca you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:4027
Tayca
Manufactures and sells various industrial chemical products in Japan.
Excellent balance sheet average dividend payer.