Stock Analysis
Here's Why Showa Paxxs (TSE:3954) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Showa Paxxs Corporation (TSE:3954) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Showa Paxxs
What Is Showa Paxxs's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Showa Paxxs had JP¥1.36b of debt at March 2024, down from JP¥1.51b a year prior. However, it does have JP¥8.45b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of JP¥7.09b.
How Healthy Is Showa Paxxs' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Showa Paxxs had liabilities of JP¥7.11b due within 12 months, and liabilities of JP¥2.40b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had JP¥8.45b in cash and JP¥7.27b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has JP¥6.20b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This excess liquidity is a great indication that Showa Paxxs' balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Simply put, the fact that Showa Paxxs has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
On the other hand, Showa Paxxs saw its EBIT drop by 8.5% in the last twelve months. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Showa Paxxs's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Showa Paxxs has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Showa Paxxs recorded free cash flow of 26% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Summing Up
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Showa Paxxs has net cash of JP¥7.09b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So is Showa Paxxs's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Showa Paxxs (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:3954
Showa Paxxs
Manufactures and sells packaging containers and materials in Japan and internationally.