Rengo Co., Ltd.

TSE:3941 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥212.8b

Rengo Valuation

Is 3941 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3941 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3941 (¥858.9) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥711.62)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3941 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3941?

Key metric: As 3941 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 3941. This is calculated by dividing 3941's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 3941's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.4x
EarningsJP¥33.50b
Market CapJP¥212.85b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3941's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3941 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.8x
3950 Pack
10.5xn/aJP¥67.8b
7504 Kohsoku
14.5xn/aJP¥47.3b
3946 Tomoku
7.5xn/aJP¥37.4b
3947 Dynapac
6.9xn/aJP¥19.5b
3941 Rengo
6.4x4.1%JP¥212.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3941 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the peer average (9.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3941's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Packaging Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
3941 6.4xIndustry Avg. 10.3xNo. of Companies6PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3941 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the JP Packaging industry average (10.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3941's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3941 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.4x
Fair PE Ratio11x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3941 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3941 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥858.90
JP¥1,190.00
+38.5%
13.9%JP¥1,400.00JP¥960.00n/a6
Dec ’25JP¥886.00
JP¥1,251.67
+41.3%
14.4%JP¥1,500.00JP¥960.00n/a6
Nov ’25JP¥873.90
JP¥1,290.00
+47.6%
12.1%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,050.00n/a7
Oct ’25JP¥997.10
JP¥1,290.00
+29.4%
12.1%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,050.00n/a7
Sep ’25JP¥1,004.50
JP¥1,297.14
+29.1%
12.1%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,050.00n/a7
Aug ’25JP¥1,037.00
JP¥1,332.86
+28.5%
8.8%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,100.00n/a7
Jul ’25JP¥1,045.50
JP¥1,332.86
+27.5%
8.8%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,100.00n/a7
Jun ’25JP¥1,059.50
JP¥1,350.00
+27.4%
7.9%JP¥1,450.00JP¥1,100.00n/a7
May ’25JP¥1,177.50
JP¥1,365.71
+16.0%
8.8%JP¥1,510.00JP¥1,100.00n/a7
Apr ’25JP¥1,142.50
JP¥1,295.00
+13.3%
9.9%JP¥1,450.00JP¥1,100.00n/a4
Mar ’25JP¥997.00
JP¥1,220.00
+22.4%
6.5%JP¥1,300.00JP¥1,100.00n/a4
Feb ’25JP¥950.00
JP¥1,177.50
+23.9%
9.3%JP¥1,300.00JP¥1,000.00n/a4
Jan ’25JP¥940.00
JP¥1,176.00
+25.1%
8.3%JP¥1,300.00JP¥1,000.00n/a5
Dec ’24JP¥934.80
JP¥1,182.00
+26.4%
8.5%JP¥1,300.00JP¥1,000.00JP¥886.005
Nov ’24JP¥1,001.00
JP¥1,202.00
+20.1%
5.5%JP¥1,300.00JP¥1,100.00JP¥873.905
Oct ’24JP¥1,026.00
JP¥1,202.00
+17.2%
5.5%JP¥1,300.00JP¥1,100.00JP¥997.105
Sep ’24JP¥997.10
JP¥1,162.50
+16.6%
5.9%JP¥1,250.00JP¥1,090.00JP¥1,004.504
Aug ’24JP¥913.00
JP¥1,100.00
+20.5%
8.4%JP¥1,250.00JP¥1,000.00JP¥1,037.004
Jul ’24JP¥885.90
JP¥1,128.00
+27.3%
8.0%JP¥1,250.00JP¥1,000.00JP¥1,045.505
Jun ’24JP¥827.00
JP¥1,128.00
+36.4%
8.0%JP¥1,250.00JP¥1,000.00JP¥1,059.505
May ’24JP¥868.00
JP¥1,102.00
+27.0%
7.1%JP¥1,200.00JP¥1,000.00JP¥1,177.505
Apr ’24JP¥859.00
JP¥1,102.00
+28.3%
7.1%JP¥1,200.00JP¥1,000.00JP¥1,142.505
Mar ’24JP¥867.00
JP¥1,100.00
+26.9%
7.1%JP¥1,200.00JP¥1,000.00JP¥997.005
Feb ’24JP¥915.00
JP¥1,100.00
+20.2%
7.1%JP¥1,200.00JP¥1,000.00JP¥950.005
Jan ’24JP¥908.00
JP¥1,100.00
+21.1%
7.1%JP¥1,200.00JP¥1,000.00JP¥940.005
Dec ’23JP¥877.00
JP¥1,048.00
+19.5%
11.6%JP¥1,200.00JP¥860.00JP¥934.805

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/25 23:19
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/25 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Rengo Co., Ltd. is covered by 18 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Kyoji ChibaBofA Global Research
Masahiro ShibanoCitigroup Inc
Jeremie CapronCLSA