Daio Paper Corporation's (TSE:3880) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥9.00 per share on 27th of June. This means the dividend yield will be fairly typical at 1.9%.
View our latest analysis for Daio Paper
Daio Paper's Projections Indicate Future Payments May Be Unsustainable
Estimates Indicate Daio Paper's Could Struggle to Maintain Dividend Payments In The Future
Daio Paper's Future Dividends May Potentially Be At Risk
While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible. Even though Daio Paper isn't generating a profit, it is generating healthy free cash flows that easily cover the dividend. This gives us some comfort about the level of the dividend payments.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 101.2%. However, if the dividend continues along recent trends, it could start putting pressure on the balance sheet with the payout ratio getting very high over the next year.
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥8.50 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥16.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 6.5% over that duration. We like to see dividends have grown at a reasonable rate, but with at least one substantial cut in the payments, we're not certain this dividend stock would be ideal for someone intending to live on the income.
The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Daio Paper's earnings per share has shrunk at 46% a year over the past five years. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.
Daio Paper's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Daio Paper's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Daio Paper (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:3880
Daio Paper
Manufactures and distributes paper products in Japan and internationally.
Undervalued with moderate growth potential.
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