Stock Analysis

Daio Paper (TSE:3880): Assessing Valuation After Recent Momentum Shift in Share Price

Daio Paper (TSE:3880) is catching the eye of investors once again, as recent activity in its share price prompts a closer look. There is no single headline event driving the shift, but when a stock starts moving like this, it is natural to wonder whether it signals something meaningful beneath the surface. Whether you are already holding Daio Paper or you are on the sidelines, now is an appropriate time to revisit the company’s story and its numbers. Looking at the bigger picture, Daio Paper’s stock has advanced over the past year, showing 6% growth, while longer-term returns have lagged behind with noticeable declines over the past three and five years. The stock is up 12% over the past three months, a momentum shift that stands in contrast to the longer-term trend. Given this backdrop, it is fair to say recent price action is piquing interest in what could be changing for the company, especially after a stretch where the market was not offering much enthusiasm. With the share price now rallying, the crucial question returns: is this a genuine buying opportunity, or should investors assume the market has already priced in any potential improvements to future growth?
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Price-to-Sales Ratio of 0.2x: Is it justified?

Daio Paper is currently trading at a price-to-sales ratio (P/S) of 0.2x. This is substantially below both the Asian Forestry industry average of 0.8x and its own fair price-to-sales estimate of 0.5x. This significant discount suggests the stock is undervalued based on industry standards for this key multiple.

The price-to-sales ratio compares a company’s market capitalization to its total revenue, offering insight into how much investors are willing to pay for a unit of sales. It is especially relevant for unprofitable firms like Daio Paper, where traditional profit-based multiples may not offer a complete picture.

The low P/S multiple signals that the market may be underappreciating Daio Paper’s current revenues in the context of its sector. While the company is unprofitable, this valuation suggests there could be meaningful upside potential if the company’s financial performance stabilizes or improves in line with sector norms.

Result: Fair Value of ¥1,364.99 (UNDERVALUED)

See our latest analysis for Daio Paper.

However, Daio Paper's persistent unprofitability and its sluggish long-term returns remain key risks that could limit the sustainability of any upward momentum.

Find out about the key risks to this Daio Paper narrative.

Another View: Our DCF Model Perspective

Aside from multiples, our DCF model offers a different way to look at value. According to this method, Daio Paper also appears undervalued. But do these two approaches agree for the right reasons, or is something missing?

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.
3880 Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2025
3880 Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2025
Stay updated when valuation signals shift by adding Daio Paper to your watchlist or portfolio. Alternatively, explore our screener to discover other companies that fit your criteria.

Build Your Own Daio Paper Narrative

If you would like to challenge these views or reach your own conclusions, you can quickly build your own perspective based on the latest data. Do it your way

A great starting point for your Daio Paper research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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