Hokuetsu Corporation

TSE:3865 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥132.2b

Hokuetsu Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Hokuetsu is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 24% and 1.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 22.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 4.9% in 3 years.

Key information

24.0%

Earnings growth rate

22.24%

EPS growth rate

Forestry earnings growth28.0%
Revenue growth rate1.9%
Future return on equity4.90%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated13 Feb 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Analysis Article Dec 24

Hokuetsu (TSE:3865) Will Pay A Dividend Of ¥13.00

Hokuetsu Corporation ( TSE:3865 ) will pay a dividend of ¥13.00 on the 30th of June. This will take the annual payment...
Analysis Article Dec 03

Hokuetsu (TSE:3865) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥13.00

Hokuetsu Corporation's ( TSE:3865 ) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥13.00 per share on 30th of June. This...
Analysis Article Nov 25

Hokuetsu's (TSE:3865) Profits Appear To Have Quality Issues

Hokuetsu Corporation's ( TSE:3865 ) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. However the...
Analysis Article Sep 18

Hokuetsu's (TSE:3865) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

Hokuetsu Corporation ( TSE:3865 ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable...
Analysis Article Sep 09

Hokuetsu (TSE:3865) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...
Analysis Article Jul 23

Hokuetsu (TSE:3865) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To ¥13.00

The board of Hokuetsu Corporation ( TSE:3865 ) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of ¥13.00 on the 3rd...
Analysis Article Jul 09

Hokuetsu (TSE:3865) Is Increasing Its Dividend To ¥13.00

Hokuetsu Corporation ( TSE:3865 ) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 3rd of December...
Analysis Article Jun 20

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Hokuetsu Corporation (TSE:3865)

Key Insights The projected fair value for Hokuetsu is JP¥1,048 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...
Analysis Article May 26

Hokuetsu's (TSE:3865) Earnings Are Of Questionable Quality

Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Hokuetsu Corporation's ( TSE:3865 ) stock hasn't moved much. Our...
Analysis Article Apr 15

Here's Why Hokuetsu (TSE:3865) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article Mar 20

Hokuetsu (TSE:3865) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥11.00

Hokuetsu Corporation ( TSE:3865 ) will pay a dividend of ¥11.00 on the 30th of June. Although the dividend is now...
Analysis Article Feb 14

Why We're Not Concerned About Hokuetsu Corporation's (TSE:3865) Share Price

Hokuetsu Corporation's ( TSE:3865 ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 45.3x might make it look like a strong sell...
Analysis Article Jan 27

Here's What's Concerning About Hokuetsu's (TSE:3865) Returns On Capital

If you're looking at a mature business that's past the growth phase, what are some of the underlying trends that pop...
Analysis Article Dec 20

Hokuetsu's (TSE:3865) Dividend Will Be ¥11.00

The board of Hokuetsu Corporation ( TSE:3865 ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥11.00 per share on the...
Analysis Article Dec 04

Hokuetsu's (TSE:3865) Dividend Will Be ¥11.00

Hokuetsu Corporation's ( TSE:3865 ) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥11.00 per share on 30th of June. Despite...
Analysis Article Nov 25

Hokuetsu's (TSE:3865) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture

Hokuetsu Corporation's ( TSE:3865 ) recent soft profit numbers didn't appear to worry shareholders, as the stock price...
Analysis Article Nov 15

Does Hokuetsu (TSE:3865) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article Oct 11

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Hokuetsu Corporation (TSE:3865)

Key Insights The projected fair value for Hokuetsu is JP¥1,497 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With JP¥1,600...
Analysis Article Sep 25

Hokuetsu (TSE:3865) Is Increasing Its Dividend To ¥11.00

Hokuetsu Corporation ( TSE:3865 ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable...
Analysis Article Aug 31

Hokuetsu (TSE:3865) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital

When we're researching a company, it's sometimes hard to find the warning signs, but there are some financial metrics...
Analysis Article Aug 16

Hokuetsu Corporation (TSE:3865) Stocks Shoot Up 29% But Its P/E Still Looks Reasonable

Hokuetsu Corporation ( TSE:3865 ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month...
Analysis Article Aug 13

Does Hokuetsu (TSE:3865) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Analysis Article Jul 26

Hokuetsu's (TSE:3865) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Hokuetsu Corporation ( TSE:3865 ) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 4th of December...
Analysis Article Jul 11

Hokuetsu (TSE:3865) Is Increasing Its Dividend To ¥11.00

Hokuetsu Corporation's ( TSE:3865 ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to ¥11.00...
Analysis Article Jun 29

Estimating The Fair Value Of Hokuetsu Corporation (TSE:3865)

Key Insights Hokuetsu's estimated fair value is JP¥1,203 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share price...
Analysis Article May 23

Some May Be Optimistic About Hokuetsu's (TSE:3865) Earnings

Hokuetsu Corporation's ( TSE:3865 ) earnings announcement last week didn't impress shareholders. However, our analysis...
Analysis Article Apr 05

Is Hokuetsu (TSE:3865) Using Too Much Debt?

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analysis Article Mar 18

Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Hokuetsu Corporation's (TSE:3865) Price

When close to half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 14x, you may consider...
Analysis Article Feb 29

Investors Will Want Hokuetsu's (TSE:3865) Growth In ROCE To Persist

If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. One common approach is to try and...

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSE:3865 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (JPY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
3/31/2028301,10013,80011,400N/A1
3/31/2027301,50013,2006,500N/A1
3/31/2026292,0006,0004,900N/A1
12/31/2025288,91310,499N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2025296,14711,6233,82921,528N/A
6/30/2025303,83015,352N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2025305,71815,52923,27940,932N/A
12/31/2024301,24512,589N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2024296,2405,27417,57733,894N/A
6/30/2024296,0254,436N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2024297,0568,3968,82622,320N/A
12/31/2023310,82611,689N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2023315,19115,7693,42515,655N/A
6/30/2023310,63410,958N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2023301,2048,325-10,7691,746N/A
12/31/2022283,3342,549N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2022271,4137,046-7,3124,921N/A
6/30/2022265,17317,397N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2022261,61621,2067,26820,186N/A
12/31/2021254,84229,371N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2021245,54028,43211,60525,615N/A
6/30/2021233,30219,181N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2021222,45414,1728,23423,760N/A
12/31/2020224,39612,768N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2020231,2083,38714,89131,274N/A
6/30/2020244,4965,671N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2020264,6188,07229,11743,974N/A
12/31/2019271,5048,186N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2019277,70213,032N/A30,831N/A
6/30/2019279,00010,319N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2019275,8079,155N/A21,626N/A
12/31/2018274,5537,006N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2018271,4737,632N/A20,927N/A
6/30/2018270,27010,227N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2018269,09910,327N/A19,741N/A
12/31/2017266,72310,398N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2017262,52412,465N/A25,757N/A
6/30/2017263,44612,014N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2017262,39810,380N/A28,918N/A
12/31/2016266,77011,901N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2016261,8318,491N/A28,044N/A
6/30/2016255,6237,854N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2016246,8497,476N/A20,943N/A
12/31/2015236,7036,329N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2015234,7097,876N/A18,462N/A
6/30/2015230,9229,380N/AN/AN/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 3865's forecast earnings growth (24% per year) is above the savings rate (0.8%).

Earnings vs Market: 3865's earnings (24% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the JP market (9.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 3865's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 3865's revenue (1.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the JP market (5.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 3865's revenue (1.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 3865's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (4.9%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/15 12:48
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/15 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Hokuetsu Corporation is covered by 9 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Akiko KuwaharaBofA Global Research
Masahiro ShibanoCitigroup Inc
Jeremie CapronCLSA