Stock Analysis

Nittetsu Mining (TSE:1515) Will Pay A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

TSE:1515
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Nittetsu Mining Co., Ltd. (TSE:1515) has announced that on 27th of November, it will be paying a dividend of¥80.00, which a reduction from last year's comparable dividend. Despite the cut, the dividend yield of 3.7% will still be comparable to other companies in the industry.

View our latest analysis for Nittetsu Mining

Nittetsu Mining's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

Solid dividend yields are great, but they only really help us if the payment is sustainable. Prior to this announcement, Nittetsu Mining's dividend was only 33% of earnings, however it was paying out 106% of free cash flows. The business might be trying to strike a balance between returning cash to shareholders and reinvesting back into the business, but this high of a payout ratio could definitely force the dividend to be cut if the company runs into a bit of a tough spot.

If the trend of the last few years continues, EPS will grow by 11.5% over the next 12 months. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 34% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

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TSE:1515 Historic Dividend August 21st 2024

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥35.00 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥161.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 16% per annum over that time. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Nittetsu Mining has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 12% per annum. A low payout ratio and decent growth suggests that the company is reinvesting well, and it also has plenty of room to increase the dividend over time.

Our Thoughts On Nittetsu Mining's Dividend

Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We don't think Nittetsu Mining is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Nittetsu Mining that investors should take into consideration. Is Nittetsu Mining not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.