Dai-ichi Life Holdings, Inc.

TSE:8750 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥3.8t

Dai-ichi Life Holdings Valuation

Is 8750 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8750 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
JP¥2.27k
Fair Value
54.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 8750 (¥1037.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥2271.38)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8750 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8750?

Key metric: As 8750 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 8750. This is calculated by dividing 8750's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 8750's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.4x
EarningsJP¥456.53b
Market CapJP¥3.82t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8750's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8750 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14x
6178 Japan Post Holdings
13.1x10.8%JP¥4.1t
8795 T&D Holdings
10.1x2.2%JP¥1.5t
7181 Japan Post Insurance
9.9x-0.2%JP¥1.0t
7157 Lifenet Insurance
23x7.5%JP¥145.8b
8750 Dai-ichi Life Holdings
8.4x0.03%JP¥3.8t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 8750 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the peer average (14x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8750's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Insurance Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
8750 8.4xIndustry Avg. 11.0xNo. of Companies49PE0816243240+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8750 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the Asian Insurance industry average (11x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8750's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8750 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.4x
Fair PE Ratio11.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 8750 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 8750 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,037.50
JP¥1,308.50
+26.1%
11.2%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,000.00n/a10
May ’26JP¥1,028.00
JP¥1,308.50
+27.3%
11.2%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,000.00n/a10
Apr ’26JP¥1,134.00
JP¥1,303.18
+14.9%
10.1%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,075.00n/a11
Mar ’26JP¥1,103.75
JP¥1,259.32
+14.1%
8.7%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,075.00n/a11
Feb ’26JP¥1,065.25
JP¥1,242.27
+16.6%
7.8%JP¥1,425.00JP¥1,075.00n/a11
Jan ’26JP¥1,058.75
JP¥1,235.45
+16.7%
8.5%JP¥1,425.00JP¥1,075.00n/a11
Dec ’25JP¥1,012.75
JP¥1,160.68
+14.6%
8.4%JP¥1,335.00JP¥1,025.00n/a11
Nov ’25JP¥960.00
JP¥1,111.88
+15.8%
16.8%JP¥1,335.00JP¥575.00n/a12
Oct ’25JP¥932.25
JP¥1,111.88
+19.3%
16.8%JP¥1,335.00JP¥575.00n/a12
Sep ’25JP¥1,044.25
JP¥1,086.67
+4.1%
19.5%JP¥1,352.50JP¥575.00n/a12
Aug ’25JP¥1,123.00
JP¥1,079.55
-3.9%
20.4%JP¥1,352.50JP¥575.00n/a11
Jul ’25JP¥1,114.75
JP¥1,058.86
-5.0%
19.2%JP¥1,325.00JP¥575.00n/a11
Jun ’25JP¥1,051.75
JP¥963.64
-8.4%
17.3%JP¥1,150.00JP¥575.00n/a11
May ’25JP¥911.75
JP¥954.55
+4.7%
16.6%JP¥1,125.00JP¥575.00JP¥1,028.0011
Apr ’25JP¥944.25
JP¥906.82
-4.0%
18.6%JP¥1,125.00JP¥575.00JP¥1,134.0011
Mar ’25JP¥876.50
JP¥823.93
-6.0%
9.9%JP¥975.00JP¥686.75JP¥1,103.7510
Feb ’25JP¥786.00
JP¥808.93
+2.9%
7.9%JP¥877.50JP¥686.75JP¥1,065.2510
Jan ’25JP¥748.00
JP¥816.43
+9.1%
9.2%JP¥950.00JP¥686.75JP¥1,058.7510
Dec ’24JP¥787.75
JP¥829.17
+5.3%
9.7%JP¥950.00JP¥686.75JP¥1,012.7513
Nov ’24JP¥817.00
JP¥823.40
+0.8%
10.7%JP¥950.00JP¥675.00JP¥960.0013
Oct ’24JP¥774.25
JP¥798.90
+3.2%
10.1%JP¥950.00JP¥675.00JP¥932.2512
Sep ’24JP¥683.25
JP¥770.35
+12.7%
10.3%JP¥950.00JP¥675.00JP¥1,044.2512
Aug ’24JP¥719.50
JP¥788.75
+9.6%
10.0%JP¥950.00JP¥675.00JP¥1,123.0010
Jul ’24JP¥684.50
JP¥788.75
+15.2%
10.0%JP¥950.00JP¥675.00JP¥1,114.7510
Jun ’24JP¥612.38
JP¥755.50
+23.4%
12.4%JP¥967.50JP¥625.00JP¥1,051.7510
May ’24JP¥632.88
JP¥762.71
+20.5%
12.2%JP¥967.50JP¥625.00JP¥911.7512
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
JP¥1.31k
Fair Value
20.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
10
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/07 22:21
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/07 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Dai-ichi Life Holdings, Inc. is covered by 22 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Azuma OhnoBarclays
Natsumu TsujinoBofA Global Research
Koichi NiwaCitigroup Inc