The board of Pola Orbis Holdings Inc. (TSE:4927) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 31st of March, with investors receiving ¥31.00 per share. This makes the dividend yield 3.8%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.
View our latest analysis for Pola Orbis Holdings
Pola Orbis Holdings Doesn't Earn Enough To Cover Its Payments
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Before this announcement, Pola Orbis Holdings was paying out 118% of what it was earning, and not generating any free cash flows either. Paying out such a large dividend compared to earnings while also not generating any free cash flow would definitely be difficult to keep up.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 10.8%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could reach 113%, which probably can't continue without putting some pressure on the balance sheet.
Dividend Volatility
Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥12.50 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥52.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 15% a year over that time. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.
Dividend Growth Could Be Constrained
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Pola Orbis Holdings has impressed us by growing EPS at 27% per year over the past five years. While EPS is growing rapidly, Pola Orbis Holdings paid out a very high 118% of its income as dividends. If earnings continue to grow, this dividend may be sustainable, but we think a payout this high definitely bears watching.
The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Pola Orbis Holdings' payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. While we generally think the level of distributions are a bit high, we wouldn't rule it out as becoming a good dividend payer in the future as its earnings are growing healthily. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Pola Orbis Holdings that investors should take into consideration. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:4927
Pola Orbis Holdings
Through its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells cosmetics and related products in Japan and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet with limited growth.