Milbon Co., Ltd.

TSE:4919 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥103.2b

Milbon Valuation

Is 4919 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4919 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4919 (¥3170) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥3066.23)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4919 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4919?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

4919 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA11.5x
PEG Ratio2.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4919's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4919 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.9x
4928 Noevir Holdings
23.3x3.3%JP¥173.9b
4917 Mandom
23.3x28.5%JP¥54.9b
7806 MTG
26.3x17.2%JP¥59.7b
4923 Cota
38.6xn/aJP¥46.6b
4919 Milbon
25.3x10.6%JP¥103.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4919 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.3x) compared to the peer average (27.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4919's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Personal Products Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a17.7%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a17.7%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4919 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.3x) compared to the JP Personal Products industry average (25.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4919's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4919 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.3x
Fair PE Ratio23.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4919 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4919 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥3,170.00
JP¥3,390.00
+6.9%
8.4%JP¥3,670.00JP¥3,000.00n/a3
Oct ’25JP¥3,154.00
JP¥3,390.00
+7.5%
8.4%JP¥3,670.00JP¥3,000.00n/a3
Sep ’25JP¥3,008.00
JP¥3,493.33
+16.1%
11.5%JP¥3,980.00JP¥3,000.00n/a3
Aug ’25JP¥3,193.00
JP¥3,693.33
+15.7%
13.3%JP¥4,100.00JP¥3,000.00n/a3
Jul ’25JP¥3,344.00
JP¥4,070.00
+21.7%
19.2%JP¥5,200.00JP¥3,000.00n/a4
Jun ’25JP¥3,392.00
JP¥4,353.33
+28.3%
14.1%JP¥5,200.00JP¥3,760.00n/a3
May ’25JP¥3,112.00
JP¥4,340.00
+39.5%
12.3%JP¥5,200.00JP¥3,760.00n/a4
Apr ’25JP¥3,250.00
JP¥4,340.00
+33.5%
12.3%JP¥5,200.00JP¥3,760.00n/a4
Mar ’25JP¥3,193.00
JP¥4,397.50
+37.7%
10.8%JP¥5,200.00JP¥3,990.00n/a4
Feb ’25JP¥3,544.00
JP¥4,497.50
+26.9%
11.6%JP¥5,200.00JP¥3,990.00n/a4
Jan ’25JP¥3,694.00
JP¥4,497.50
+21.8%
11.6%JP¥5,200.00JP¥3,990.00n/a4
Dec ’24JP¥3,632.00
JP¥5,040.00
+38.8%
18.1%JP¥6,000.00JP¥3,420.00n/a5
Nov ’24JP¥3,993.00
JP¥5,356.00
+34.1%
15.5%JP¥6,000.00JP¥3,800.00JP¥3,170.005
Oct ’24JP¥4,161.00
JP¥5,356.00
+28.7%
15.5%JP¥6,000.00JP¥3,800.00JP¥3,154.005
Sep ’24JP¥4,529.00
JP¥6,096.00
+34.6%
7.7%JP¥7,000.00JP¥5,700.00JP¥3,008.005
Aug ’24JP¥5,015.00
JP¥6,720.00
+34.0%
8.0%JP¥7,200.00JP¥5,700.00JP¥3,193.005
Jul ’24JP¥4,914.00
JP¥6,720.00
+36.8%
8.0%JP¥7,200.00JP¥5,700.00JP¥3,344.005
Jun ’24JP¥4,635.00
JP¥6,720.00
+45.0%
8.0%JP¥7,200.00JP¥5,700.00JP¥3,392.005
May ’24JP¥5,730.00
JP¥6,822.00
+19.1%
9.5%JP¥7,700.00JP¥5,700.00JP¥3,112.005
Apr ’24JP¥5,450.00
JP¥6,777.50
+24.4%
10.6%JP¥7,700.00JP¥5,700.00JP¥3,250.004
Mar ’24JP¥5,540.00
JP¥6,612.50
+19.4%
10.9%JP¥7,700.00JP¥5,700.00JP¥3,193.004
Feb ’24JP¥5,620.00
JP¥6,487.50
+15.4%
13.2%JP¥7,700.00JP¥5,300.00JP¥3,544.004
Jan ’24JP¥5,720.00
JP¥6,487.50
+13.4%
13.2%JP¥7,700.00JP¥5,300.00JP¥3,694.004
Dec ’23JP¥5,800.00
JP¥6,487.50
+11.9%
13.2%JP¥7,700.00JP¥5,300.00JP¥3,632.004
Nov ’23JP¥6,120.00
JP¥6,672.50
+9.0%
16.3%JP¥8,000.00JP¥5,000.00JP¥3,993.004

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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