Stock Analysis

Returns On Capital At Toho Holdings (TSE:8129) Have Stalled

TSE:8129
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What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Although, when we looked at Toho Holdings (TSE:8129), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.

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What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Toho Holdings:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.072 = JP¥22b ÷ (JP¥820b - JP¥515b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).

So, Toho Holdings has an ROCE of 7.2%. In absolute terms, that's a low return but it's around the Healthcare industry average of 8.7%.

Check out our latest analysis for Toho Holdings

roce
TSE:8129 Return on Capital Employed May 15th 2025

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Toho Holdings compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Toho Holdings for free.

What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us

There hasn't been much to report for Toho Holdings' returns and its level of capital employed because both metrics have been steady for the past five years. This tells us the company isn't reinvesting in itself, so it's plausible that it's past the growth phase. So don't be surprised if Toho Holdings doesn't end up being a multi-bagger in a few years time.

On a side note, Toho Holdings' current liabilities are still rather high at 63% of total assets. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.

What We Can Learn From Toho Holdings' ROCE

In summary, Toho Holdings isn't compounding its earnings but is generating stable returns on the same amount of capital employed. Investors must think there's better things to come because the stock has knocked it out of the park, delivering a 132% gain to shareholders who have held over the last five years. But if the trajectory of these underlying trends continue, we think the likelihood of it being a multi-bagger from here isn't high.

Toho Holdings could be trading at an attractive price in other respects, so you might find our free intrinsic value estimation for 8129 on our platform quite valuable.

While Toho Holdings isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Toho Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.