Stock Analysis
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Olympus Corporation (TSE:7733) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Olympus
What Is Olympus's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Olympus had debt of JP¥299.6b at the end of March 2024, a reduction from JP¥340.1b over a year. However, it does have JP¥350.8b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of JP¥51.2b.
How Strong Is Olympus' Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Olympus had liabilities of JP¥431.7b due within 12 months and liabilities of JP¥345.3b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of JP¥350.8b as well as receivables valued at JP¥234.3b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total JP¥192.0b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Of course, Olympus has a titanic market capitalization of JP¥3.09t, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Olympus also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
It is just as well that Olympus's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 34% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Olympus can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Olympus has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, Olympus's free cash flow amounted to 25% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Summing Up
We could understand if investors are concerned about Olympus's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of JP¥51.2b. So we are not troubled with Olympus's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Olympus .
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:7733
Olympus
Manufactures and sells precision machineries and instruments worldwide.