H.U. Group Holdings Valuation
Is 4544 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 4544 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 4544 (¥2416) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥2626.81)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 4544 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4544?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is 4544's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | JP¥137.28b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.7x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 8.7x |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers
How does 4544's PS Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PS | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 1.2x | ||
4694 BML | 0.8x | 2.4% | JP¥112.8b |
9158 CUC | 1.5x | 19.2% | JP¥50.8b |
6062 Charm Care | 1.2x | 10.4% | JP¥48.4b |
6099 Elan | 1.3x | 15.4% | JP¥54.8b |
4544 H.U. Group Holdings | 0.6x | 2.7% | JP¥137.3b |
Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 4544 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the peer average (1.2x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 4544's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Healthcare Industry?
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 4544 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the JP Healthcare industry average (0.5x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 4544's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PS Ratio | 0.6x |
| Fair PS Ratio | 0.9x |
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 4544 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | JP¥2,416.00 | JP¥2,582.00 +6.9% | 14.1% | JP¥3,100.00 | JP¥2,200.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Apr ’25 | JP¥2,457.50 | JP¥2,582.00 +5.1% | 14.1% | JP¥3,100.00 | JP¥2,200.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Mar ’25 | JP¥2,600.00 | JP¥2,602.00 +0.08% | 15.1% | JP¥3,200.00 | JP¥2,200.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Feb ’25 | JP¥2,775.50 | JP¥2,568.00 -7.5% | 16.8% | JP¥3,200.00 | JP¥2,040.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jan ’25 | JP¥2,663.50 | JP¥2,568.00 -3.6% | 16.8% | JP¥3,200.00 | JP¥2,040.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Dec ’24 | JP¥2,582.50 | JP¥2,648.33 +2.5% | 16.3% | JP¥3,200.00 | JP¥2,040.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Nov ’24 | JP¥2,537.00 | JP¥2,726.67 +7.5% | 14.4% | JP¥3,200.00 | JP¥2,010.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Oct ’24 | JP¥2,540.00 | JP¥2,810.00 +10.6% | 13.8% | JP¥3,200.00 | JP¥2,010.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Sep ’24 | JP¥2,648.50 | JP¥3,010.00 +13.6% | 7.6% | JP¥3,400.00 | JP¥2,700.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Aug ’24 | JP¥2,826.00 | JP¥3,070.00 +8.6% | 8.7% | JP¥3,400.00 | JP¥2,700.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jul ’24 | JP¥2,751.50 | JP¥3,070.00 +11.6% | 8.7% | JP¥3,400.00 | JP¥2,700.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jun ’24 | JP¥2,671.00 | JP¥2,933.33 +9.8% | 10.5% | JP¥3,500.00 | JP¥2,500.00 | n/a | 6 |
| May ’24 | JP¥2,769.00 | JP¥2,966.67 +7.1% | 9.9% | JP¥3,500.00 | JP¥2,500.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Apr ’24 | JP¥2,666.00 | JP¥2,980.00 +11.8% | 10.7% | JP¥3,500.00 | JP¥2,500.00 | JP¥2,457.50 | 5 |
| Mar ’24 | JP¥2,663.00 | JP¥2,980.00 +11.9% | 10.7% | JP¥3,500.00 | JP¥2,500.00 | JP¥2,600.00 | 5 |
| Feb ’24 | JP¥2,752.00 | JP¥3,040.00 +10.5% | 13.9% | JP¥3,800.00 | JP¥2,500.00 | JP¥2,775.50 | 5 |
| Jan ’24 | JP¥2,881.00 | JP¥3,040.00 +5.5% | 13.9% | JP¥3,800.00 | JP¥2,500.00 | JP¥2,663.50 | 5 |
| Dec ’23 | JP¥2,779.00 | JP¥2,986.67 +7.5% | 16.7% | JP¥4,000.00 | JP¥2,500.00 | JP¥2,582.50 | 6 |
| Nov ’23 | JP¥2,777.00 | JP¥3,086.67 +11.2% | 17.2% | JP¥4,000.00 | JP¥2,500.00 | JP¥2,537.00 | 6 |
| Oct ’23 | JP¥2,640.00 | JP¥3,103.33 +17.6% | 17.0% | JP¥4,000.00 | JP¥2,500.00 | JP¥2,540.00 | 6 |
| Sep ’23 | JP¥2,833.00 | JP¥3,120.00 +10.1% | 16.9% | JP¥4,000.00 | JP¥2,500.00 | JP¥2,648.50 | 6 |
| Aug ’23 | JP¥3,215.00 | JP¥3,136.67 -2.4% | 16.2% | JP¥4,000.00 | JP¥2,520.00 | JP¥2,826.00 | 6 |
| Jul ’23 | JP¥2,892.00 | JP¥3,244.00 +12.2% | 15.1% | JP¥4,000.00 | JP¥2,520.00 | JP¥2,751.50 | 5 |
| Jun ’23 | JP¥2,704.00 | JP¥3,400.00 +25.7% | 10.5% | JP¥4,000.00 | JP¥2,980.00 | JP¥2,671.00 | 5 |
| May ’23 | JP¥2,904.00 | JP¥3,500.00 +20.5% | 12.4% | JP¥4,000.00 | JP¥2,980.00 | JP¥2,769.00 | 5 |
| Apr ’23 | JP¥2,853.00 | JP¥3,490.00 +22.3% | 12.1% | JP¥4,000.00 | JP¥2,980.00 | JP¥2,666.00 | 5 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.