JMDC Inc.

TSE:4483 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥252.1b

JMDC Valuation

Is 4483 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4483 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4483 (¥3858) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥2135.61)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4483 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4483?

Key metric: As 4483 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4483. This is calculated by dividing 4483's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4483's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio61x
EarningsJP¥4.13b
Market CapJP¥252.15b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4483's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4483 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.4x
4480 Medley
46.5x31.7%JP¥126.2b
3733 Software Service
13.4x11.6%JP¥71.2b
2413 M3
23.7x12.0%JP¥927.2b
4820 EM Systems
26x12.3%JP¥55.0b
4483 JMDC
61x25.0%JP¥252.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4483 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (61x) compared to the peer average (27.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4483's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Healthcare Services Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4483 61.0xIndustry Avg. 26.0xNo. of Companies7PE020406080100+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4483 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (61x) compared to the Asian Healthcare Services industry average (26x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4483's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4483 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio61x
Fair PE Ratio30.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4483 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (61x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4483 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥3,858.00
JP¥5,600.00
+45.2%
15.7%JP¥7,000.00JP¥3,900.00n/a11
Dec ’25JP¥4,100.00
JP¥5,609.09
+36.8%
17.2%JP¥7,000.00JP¥3,900.00n/a11
Nov ’25JP¥4,227.00
JP¥5,473.64
+29.5%
18.9%JP¥7,000.00JP¥3,900.00n/a11
Oct ’25JP¥4,698.00
JP¥5,473.64
+16.5%
18.9%JP¥7,000.00JP¥3,900.00n/a11
Sep ’25JP¥4,399.00
JP¥5,237.27
+19.1%
22.1%JP¥7,000.00JP¥3,600.00n/a11
Aug ’25JP¥3,211.00
JP¥4,843.00
+50.8%
27.9%JP¥7,000.00JP¥3,330.00n/a10
Jul ’25JP¥3,182.00
JP¥4,820.00
+51.5%
30.4%JP¥7,000.00JP¥3,330.00n/a9
Jun ’25JP¥2,739.50
JP¥4,938.00
+80.3%
29.0%JP¥7,000.00JP¥3,330.00n/a10
May ’25JP¥3,229.00
JP¥5,400.00
+67.2%
22.0%JP¥7,000.00JP¥3,650.00n/a10
Apr ’25JP¥3,580.00
JP¥5,840.00
+63.1%
25.0%JP¥9,100.00JP¥3,650.00n/a10
Mar ’25JP¥3,805.00
JP¥5,915.00
+55.5%
25.0%JP¥9,100.00JP¥3,650.00n/a10
Feb ’25JP¥3,850.00
JP¥6,206.00
+61.2%
24.8%JP¥10,060.00JP¥4,500.00n/a10
Jan ’25JP¥4,263.00
JP¥6,266.00
+47.0%
23.6%JP¥10,060.00JP¥4,670.00n/a10
Dec ’24JP¥4,271.00
JP¥6,396.00
+49.8%
23.3%JP¥10,060.00JP¥4,670.00JP¥4,100.0010
Nov ’24JP¥4,366.00
JP¥6,584.00
+50.8%
24.7%JP¥10,500.00JP¥4,810.00JP¥4,227.0010
Oct ’24JP¥5,439.00
JP¥6,817.50
+25.3%
25.1%JP¥10,500.00JP¥4,810.00JP¥4,698.008
Sep ’24JP¥4,368.00
JP¥6,732.22
+54.1%
26.7%JP¥10,500.00JP¥4,810.00JP¥4,399.009
Aug ’24JP¥5,400.00
JP¥7,111.11
+31.7%
21.1%JP¥10,400.00JP¥5,300.00JP¥3,211.009
Jul ’24JP¥5,704.00
JP¥7,033.33
+23.3%
22.3%JP¥10,400.00JP¥5,300.00JP¥3,182.009
Jun ’24JP¥5,600.00
JP¥6,800.00
+21.4%
22.0%JP¥9,600.00JP¥5,100.00JP¥2,739.509
May ’24JP¥4,725.00
JP¥6,775.00
+43.4%
24.5%JP¥9,500.00JP¥4,700.00JP¥3,229.008
Apr ’24JP¥4,550.00
JP¥6,742.86
+48.2%
26.3%JP¥9,500.00JP¥4,700.00JP¥3,580.007
Mar ’24JP¥4,210.00
JP¥6,711.43
+59.4%
26.8%JP¥9,500.00JP¥4,700.00JP¥3,805.007
Feb ’24JP¥4,290.00
JP¥6,757.14
+57.5%
26.8%JP¥9,500.00JP¥4,300.00JP¥3,850.007
Jan ’24JP¥3,780.00
JP¥7,121.43
+88.4%
25.5%JP¥10,000.00JP¥4,950.00JP¥4,263.007
Dec ’23JP¥5,190.00
JP¥7,700.00
+48.4%
23.5%JP¥10,000.00JP¥5,400.00JP¥4,271.006

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/21 02:09
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

JMDC Inc. is covered by 16 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ritsuo WatanabeBofA Global Research
Tomoko YoshiharaDaiwa Securities Co. Ltd.
Ei KyokuDaiwa Securities Co. Ltd.