The Nisshin OilliO Group,Ltd.

TSE:2602 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥164.0b

Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd Valuation

Is 2602 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2602 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 2602 (¥5060) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥42204.77)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 2602 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2602?

Key metric: As 2602 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 2602. This is calculated by dividing 2602's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 2602's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.2x
EarningsJP¥14.69b
Market CapJP¥164.05b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 2602's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 2602 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.1x
2001 Nippn
5.2x-20.8%JP¥165.7b
1333 Maruha Nichiro
6.5xn/aJP¥154.4b
2815 ARIAKE JAPAN
27.9x18.0%JP¥171.0b
2270 MEGMILK SNOW BRANDLtd
8.8x-4.3%JP¥183.2b
2602 Nisshin OilliO GroupLtd
11.2x8.9%JP¥164.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 2602 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the peer average (12.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2602's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Food Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
2215 First Baking
1.9xn/aUS$25.26m
No more companies available in this PE range
2602 11.2xIndustry Avg. 15.0xNo. of Companies20PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 2602 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the JP Food industry average (15x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2602's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2602 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.2x
Fair PE Ratio18.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 2602 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2602 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥5,060.00
JP¥6,950.00
+37.4%
0.7%JP¥7,000.00JP¥6,900.00n/a2
Nov ’25JP¥5,110.00
JP¥6,950.00
+36.0%
0.7%JP¥7,000.00JP¥6,900.00n/a2
Oct ’25JP¥5,280.00
JP¥6,950.00
+31.6%
0.7%JP¥7,000.00JP¥6,900.00n/a2
Sep ’25JP¥5,170.00
JP¥6,700.00
+29.6%
3.0%JP¥6,900.00JP¥6,500.00n/a2
Jun ’25JP¥4,880.00
JP¥6,350.00
+30.1%
2.4%JP¥6,500.00JP¥6,200.00n/a2
May ’25JP¥5,040.00
JP¥5,900.00
+17.1%
11.0%JP¥6,500.00JP¥5,000.00n/a3
Apr ’25JP¥5,090.00
JP¥5,900.00
+15.9%
11.0%JP¥6,500.00JP¥5,000.00n/a3
Mar ’25JP¥5,180.00
JP¥4,966.67
-4.1%
0.9%JP¥5,000.00JP¥4,900.00n/a3
Feb ’25JP¥4,540.00
JP¥4,633.33
+2.1%
9.7%JP¥5,000.00JP¥4,000.00n/a3
Jan ’25JP¥4,290.00
JP¥4,633.33
+8.0%
9.7%JP¥5,000.00JP¥4,000.00n/a3
Dec ’24JP¥4,270.00
JP¥4,450.00
+4.2%
10.1%JP¥4,900.00JP¥4,000.00n/a2
Nov ’24JP¥4,285.00
JP¥4,450.00
+3.9%
10.1%JP¥4,900.00JP¥4,000.00JP¥5,110.002
Sep ’24JP¥4,160.00
JP¥4,450.00
+7.0%
10.1%JP¥4,900.00JP¥4,000.00JP¥5,170.002
Aug ’24JP¥3,865.00
JP¥4,200.00
+8.7%
16.7%JP¥4,900.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥4,980.002
Jul ’24JP¥3,420.00
JP¥3,300.00
-3.5%
6.1%JP¥3,500.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥4,860.002
Jun ’24JP¥3,280.00
JP¥3,300.00
+0.6%
6.1%JP¥3,500.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥4,880.002
May ’24JP¥3,400.00
JP¥3,300.00
-2.9%
6.1%JP¥3,500.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥5,040.002
Apr ’24JP¥3,250.00
JP¥3,300.00
+1.5%
6.1%JP¥3,500.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥5,090.002
Mar ’24JP¥3,335.00
JP¥3,300.00
-1.0%
6.1%JP¥3,500.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥5,180.002
Feb ’24JP¥3,185.00
JP¥3,150.00
-1.1%
1.6%JP¥3,200.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥4,540.002
Jan ’24JP¥3,285.00
JP¥3,150.00
-4.1%
1.6%JP¥3,200.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥4,290.002
Dec ’23JP¥3,350.00
JP¥3,150.00
-6.0%
1.6%JP¥3,200.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥4,270.002

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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