Returns On Capital At Asahi Group Holdings (TSE:2502) Paint A Concerning Picture
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. In light of that, when we looked at Asahi Group Holdings (TSE:2502) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Asahi Group Holdings is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.064 = JP¥249b ÷ (JP¥5.4t - JP¥1.5t) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2025).
So, Asahi Group Holdings has an ROCE of 6.4%. In absolute terms, that's a low return but it's around the Beverage industry average of 7.1%.
See our latest analysis for Asahi Group Holdings
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Asahi Group Holdings compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Asahi Group Holdings .
What Does the ROCE Trend For Asahi Group Holdings Tell Us?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Asahi Group Holdings, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 8.4% over the last five years. However it looks like Asahi Group Holdings might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
On a side note, Asahi Group Holdings has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 28% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
The Key Takeaway
In summary, Asahi Group Holdings is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. Since the stock has gained an impressive 71% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. Ultimately, if the underlying trends persist, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger going forward.
Like most companies, Asahi Group Holdings does come with some risks, and we've found 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.
While Asahi Group Holdings isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:2502
Asahi Group Holdings
Manufactures and sells beer, alcohol and non-alcohol beverages, and food products in Japan, Europe, Oceania, and Southeast Asia.
Very undervalued established dividend payer.
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