Stock Analysis

3 Japanese Stocks Estimated To Be Up To 49.1% Below Intrinsic Value

TSE:2585
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Japan's stock markets have shown positive momentum recently, with the Nikkei 225 Index gaining 2.45% and the broader TOPIX Index up by 0.45%, supported by yen weakness which has enhanced the profit outlook for exporters. In this context of rising indices, identifying stocks that are potentially undervalued can offer investors opportunities to capitalize on discrepancies between market price and intrinsic value, making them attractive prospects in today's economic climate.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Japan

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Hagiwara Electric Holdings (TSE:7467)¥3450.00¥6698.1148.5%
Akatsuki (TSE:3932)¥2058.00¥3750.5345.1%
Densan System Holdings (TSE:4072)¥2659.00¥5308.5649.9%
Kotobuki Spirits (TSE:2222)¥1879.00¥3434.7345.3%
Pilot (TSE:7846)¥4662.00¥8893.9447.6%
Eternal Hospitality GroupLtd (TSE:3193)¥4150.00¥7814.6146.9%
Hibino (TSE:2469)¥3510.00¥6917.2349.3%
Appier Group (TSE:4180)¥1764.00¥3465.2749.1%
KeePer Technical Laboratory (TSE:6036)¥4195.00¥7826.4846.4%
Money Forward (TSE:3994)¥6240.00¥11793.9247.1%

Click here to see the full list of 81 stocks from our Undervalued Japanese Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's explore several standout options from the results in the screener.

Kotobuki Spirits (TSE:2222)

Overview: Kotobuki Spirits Co., Ltd. is a Japanese company that produces and sells sweets, with a market cap of ¥292.46 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is primarily derived from its segments, including Shukrei at ¥27.03 billion, Casey Shii at ¥18.88 billion, Kotobuki Confectionery/Tajima Kotobuki at ¥13.19 billion, Sales Subsidiaries contributing ¥7.06 billion, and Kujukushima at ¥6.56 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 45.3%

Kotobuki Spirits is trading at ¥1,879, significantly below its estimated fair value of ¥3,434.73, making it an attractive option based on cash flow valuation. The company's earnings grew by 33.7% last year and are forecast to grow at 12.77% annually, outpacing the Japanese market's average growth rate of 8.8%. Analysts agree on a potential price rise of 30.6%, highlighting its undervaluation relative to future growth prospects.

TSE:2222 Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024
TSE:2222 Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

Lifedrink Company (TSE:2585)

Overview: Lifedrink Company, Inc. manufactures and sells beverages in Japan with a market cap of ¥92.87 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue primarily comes from its Beverage and Leaf Business, generating ¥39.57 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 11.3%

Lifedrink Company is trading at ¥1,777, slightly below its estimated fair value of ¥2,003.95. Despite high debt levels and recent share price volatility, the company's earnings grew by 30.5% last year and are expected to increase by 10.25% annually, surpassing the Japanese market's average growth rate of 8.8%. A recent 4:1 stock split may enhance liquidity but doesn't significantly impact its cash flow-based valuation appeal.

TSE:2585 Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024
TSE:2585 Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

Appier Group (TSE:4180)

Overview: Appier Group, Inc. is a software-as-a-service company that offers AI platforms to help enterprises make data-driven decisions both in Japan and internationally, with a market cap of ¥180.10 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue from its AI SaaS Business, amounting to ¥30.22 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 49.1%

Appier Group is trading at ¥1,764, significantly below its estimated fair value of ¥3,465.27. Despite a volatile share price recently, the company's earnings grew by over 300% last year and are forecast to grow by 38.16% annually, outpacing the Japanese market's average growth rate. Recent buybacks aim to enhance capital efficiency and shareholder returns. Appier's partnership with Huy Thanh Jewelry highlights its AI capabilities in driving substantial ROI improvements for clients.

TSE:4180 Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024
TSE:4180 Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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