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What You Can Learn From Kyoei Tanker Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:9130) P/S After Its 34% Share Price Crash
Kyoei Tanker Co., Ltd. (TSE:9130) shares have had a horrible month, losing 34% after a relatively good period beforehand. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Kyoei Tanker's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Oil and Gas industry in Japan, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.2x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Check out our latest analysis for Kyoei Tanker
How Kyoei Tanker Has Been Performing
It looks like revenue growth has deserted Kyoei Tanker recently, which is not something to boast about. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this benign revenue growth rate might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be feeling hopeful about the future direction of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Kyoei Tanker, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Kyoei Tanker would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 21% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 5.7% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is pretty similar based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this in consideration, it's clear to see why Kyoei Tanker's P/S matches up closely to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on assuming the company will continue keeping a low profile.
The Final Word
With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Kyoei Tanker looks to be in line with the rest of the Oil and Gas industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
It appears to us that Kyoei Tanker maintains its moderate P/S off the back of its recent three-year growth being in line with the wider industry forecast. With previous revenue trends that keep up with the current industry outlook, it's hard to justify the company's P/S ratio deviating much from it's current point. Given the current circumstances, it seems improbable that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
Plus, you should also learn about these 6 warning signs we've spotted with Kyoei Tanker (including 3 which can't be ignored).
If you're unsure about the strength of Kyoei Tanker's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Kyoei Tanker might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:9130
Moderate, good value and pays a dividend.